France leads trader consensus for the nation of the 2026 World Cup top goalscorer due to Kylian Mbappé’s proven record, including eight goals and a final hat-trick in 2022, combined with France’s expected deep tournament run that maximizes scoring opportunities. England benefits from Harry Kane’s exceptional club form (61 goals this season for Bayern Munich) and consistent international output, while Norway’s position reflects Erling Haaland’s elite finishing rate and Norway’s strong qualifying campaign. Spain’s share stems from attacking depth featuring Lamine Yamal and Mikel Oyarzabal, tempered by recent injury concerns. Brazil, Argentina, and Portugal trail because their leading scorers (Vinícius Júnior, Lionel Messi, Cristiano Ronaldo) face age or squad-rotation factors in an expanded 48-team field where early exits limit goal tallies for underdogs. These probabilities represent aggregated trader views on player availability, team progression paths, and historical scoring patterns rather than guarantees.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ワールドカップ: Nation of Top Goalscorer
France 25%
Spain 15%
England 14%
Norway 9%
$290,770 Vol.
$290,770 Vol.
France
25%
Spain
15%
England
14%
Norway
9%
Brazil
8%
Argentina
7%
Portugal
7%
Germany
4%
USA
4%
Belgium
2%
Netherlands
2%
Turkiye
1%
Scotland
1%
Switzerland
1%
Colombia
1%
Mexico
1%
Morocco
1%
Ghana
1%
Egypt
<1%
Australia
<1%
New Zealand
<1%
Sweden
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
<1%
DR Congo
<1%
Croatia
<1%
Canada
<1%
Ivory Coast
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Ecuador
<1%
Japan
<1%
Uruguay
<1%
Senegal
<1%
Austria
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
South Africa
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Curacao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Jordan
<1%
Panama
<1%
France 25%
Spain 15%
England 14%
Norway 9%
$290,770 Vol.
$290,770 Vol.
France
25%
Spain
15%
England
14%
Norway
9%
Brazil
8%
Argentina
7%
Portugal
7%
Germany
4%
USA
4%
Belgium
2%
Netherlands
2%
Turkiye
1%
Scotland
1%
Switzerland
1%
Colombia
1%
Mexico
1%
Morocco
1%
Ghana
1%
Egypt
<1%
Australia
<1%
New Zealand
<1%
Sweden
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
<1%
DR Congo
<1%
Croatia
<1%
Canada
<1%
Ivory Coast
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Ecuador
<1%
Japan
<1%
Uruguay
<1%
Senegal
<1%
Austria
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
South Africa
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Curacao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Jordan
<1%
Panama
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the nation represented by the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nationality of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Apr 29, 2026, 10:51 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the nation represented by the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nationality of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...France leads trader consensus for the nation of the 2026 World Cup top goalscorer due to Kylian Mbappé’s proven record, including eight goals and a final hat-trick in 2022, combined with France’s expected deep tournament run that maximizes scoring opportunities. England benefits from Harry Kane’s exceptional club form (61 goals this season for Bayern Munich) and consistent international output, while Norway’s position reflects Erling Haaland’s elite finishing rate and Norway’s strong qualifying campaign. Spain’s share stems from attacking depth featuring Lamine Yamal and Mikel Oyarzabal, tempered by recent injury concerns. Brazil, Argentina, and Portugal trail because their leading scorers (Vinícius Júnior, Lionel Messi, Cristiano Ronaldo) face age or squad-rotation factors in an expanded 48-team field where early exits limit goal tallies for underdogs. These probabilities represent aggregated trader views on player availability, team progression paths, and historical scoring patterns rather than guarantees.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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