The expanded 2026 World Cup format, with 48 teams and 32 knockout-stage matches, stands as the dominant driver of expectations for penalty shootouts, as these remain the sole pathway to resolution after 90 minutes plus 30 minutes of extra time. Historically, roughly 20-25% of World Cup knockout fixtures reach penalties, a rate that produced a record five such outcomes in 2022, including the final. The addition of a round of 32 increases total elimination games substantially over prior 32-team editions, directly raising the volume of opportunities without altering group-stage rules that permit draws. No confirmed changes to extra-time protocols or shootout procedures have taken effect, though ancillary pace-of-play adjustments could indirectly influence fatigue and decision-making in later rounds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/07/20
1+ matches
96%
2+ matches
88%
3+ matches
85%
4+ matches
50%
5+ matches
83%
6+ matches
77%
7+ matches
70%
8+ matches
62%
9+ matches
49%
$68 Vol.
1+ matches
$57 Vol.
96%
2+ matches
$1 Vol.
88%
3+ matches
$0 Vol.
85%
4+ matches
$0 Vol.
50%
5+ matches
$0 Vol.
83%
6+ matches
$10 Vol.
77%
7+ matches
$0 Vol.
70%
8+ matches
$0 Vol.
62%
9+ matches
$0 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The expanded 2026 World Cup format, with 48 teams and 32 knockout-stage matches, stands as the dominant driver of expectations for penalty shootouts, as these remain the sole pathway to resolution after 90 minutes plus 30 minutes of extra time. Historically, roughly 20-25% of World Cup knockout fixtures reach penalties, a rate that produced a record five such outcomes in 2022, including the final. The addition of a round of 32 increases total elimination games substantially over prior 32-team editions, directly raising the volume of opportunities without altering group-stage rules that permit draws. No confirmed changes to extra-time protocols or shootout procedures have taken effect, though ancillary pace-of-play adjustments could indirectly influence fatigue and decision-making in later rounds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jun 11, 2026, 10:59 AM ET
音量
$68終了日
2026/07/20マーケット開始日
Jun 11, 2026, 10:59 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The expanded 2026 World Cup format, with 48 teams and 32 knockout-stage matches, stands as the dominant driver of expectations for penalty shootouts, as these remain the sole pathway to resolution after 90 minutes plus 30 minutes of extra time. Historically, roughly 20-25% of World Cup knockout fixtures reach penalties, a rate that produced a record five such outcomes in 2022, including the final. The addition of a round of 32 increases total elimination games substantially over prior 32-team editions, directly raising the volume of opportunities without altering group-stage rules that permit draws. No confirmed changes to extra-time protocols or shootout procedures have taken effect, though ancillary pace-of-play adjustments could indirectly influence fatigue and decision-making in later rounds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$68終了日
2026/07/20マーケット開始日
Jun 11, 2026, 10:59 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The expanded 2026 World Cup format, with 48 teams and 32 knockout-stage matches, stands as the dominant driver of expectations for penalty shootouts, as these remain the sole pathway to resolution after 90 minutes plus 30 minutes of extra time. Historically, roughly 20-25% of World Cup knockout fixtures reach penalties, a rate that produced a record five such outcomes in 2022, including the final. The addition of a round of 32 increases total elimination games substantially over prior 32-team editions, directly raising the volume of opportunities without altering group-stage rules that permit draws. No confirmed changes to extra-time protocols or shootout procedures have taken effect, though ancillary pace-of-play adjustments could indirectly influence fatigue and decision-making in later rounds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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