**Türkiye, Norway, Switzerland, and Czechia lead trader sentiment for the worst-placed UEFA nation at the 2026 World Cup because they combine recent playoff qualification paths, limited recent tournament pedigree, and challenging group draws with stronger sides.** Türkiye returned after a 24-year absence via playoffs and opened with a 0-2 loss to Australia, while Norway (absent since 1998) dominated qualifiers but faces France in Group I and lacks deep recent experience. Switzerland, despite a strong Euro 2024 run, drew with Qatar early and sits mid-tier in power rankings. Czechia, another playoff qualifier, joins Bosnia and Herzegovina and Austria among teams viewed as vulnerable to early elimination. "Other" dominates at 50% as the market assigns low implied probabilities to traditional powers like Germany, Spain, England, and France finishing last among the 16 UEFA participants. Recent opening-match results and group contexts have reinforced perceptions of these mid-tier sides as the most likely to post the weakest overall records.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Norway 29%
Czechia 26%
Switzerland 25.5%
Austria 12%
Austria
12%
Belgium
4%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
9%
Croatia
7%
Czechia
24%
England
2%
France
5%
Germany
1%
Netherlands
2%
Norway
29%
Portugal
5%
Scotland
5%
Spain
1%
Sweden
4%
Switzerland
26%
Türkiye
30%
Norway 29%
Czechia 26%
Switzerland 25.5%
Austria 12%
Austria
12%
Belgium
4%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
9%
Croatia
7%
Czechia
24%
England
2%
France
5%
Germany
1%
Netherlands
2%
Norway
29%
Portugal
5%
Scotland
5%
Spain
1%
Sweden
4%
Switzerland
26%
Türkiye
30%
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed UEFA nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Jun 5, 2026, 7:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed UEFA nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Türkiye, Norway, Switzerland, and Czechia lead trader sentiment for the worst-placed UEFA nation at the 2026 World Cup because they combine recent playoff qualification paths, limited recent tournament pedigree, and challenging group draws with stronger sides.** Türkiye returned after a 24-year absence via playoffs and opened with a 0-2 loss to Australia, while Norway (absent since 1998) dominated qualifiers but faces France in Group I and lacks deep recent experience. Switzerland, despite a strong Euro 2024 run, drew with Qatar early and sits mid-tier in power rankings. Czechia, another playoff qualifier, joins Bosnia and Herzegovina and Austria among teams viewed as vulnerable to early elimination. "Other" dominates at 50% as the market assigns low implied probabilities to traditional powers like Germany, Spain, England, and France finishing last among the 16 UEFA participants. Recent opening-match results and group contexts have reinforced perceptions of these mid-tier sides as the most likely to post the weakest overall records.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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