EU regulators continue prioritizing DSA compliance enforcement over outright bans on X. Following the European Commission's December 2025 €120 million fine for issues including deceptive blue-check verification, ad repository shortcomings, and restricted researcher data access, X submitted and had its corrective action plan accepted in July 2026. Ongoing probes into recommender systems and Grok AI outputs have prompted adjustments rather than platform-level blocks, consistent with the DSA's graduated approach of transparency orders and fines up to 6% of global turnover. Partial restrictions like age-based social media limits in France and Spain do not equate to country-wide bans, and no EU member state has moved to block access despite periodic political calls. Traders assign an 84% probability to "No" because historical enforcement patterns, X's engagement with authorities, and the high threshold for full prohibition make a ban by December 31, 2026, improbable absent a major escalation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日16% 確率
$13,336 Vol.
$13,336 Vol.
2026/12/30
16% 確率
$13,336 Vol.
$13,336 Vol.
2026/12/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the use of X/Twitter is banned within any European country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a “European country” is defined as any of the following sovereign states: Albania, Andorra, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Kosovo, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Moldova, Monaco, Montenegro, Netherlands, North Macedonia, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom, and Vatican City.
A ban will qualify if legislation is enacted or government action is taken to bar the respective country's citizens from downloading and/or viewing X/Twitter, and/or posting on X/Twitter. Any legislation or government action that meets these standards will qualify, regardless of whether or when the ban goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective government and X/Twitter; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.EU regulators continue prioritizing DSA compliance enforcement over outright bans on X. Following the European Commission's December 2025 €120 million fine for issues including deceptive blue-check verification, ad repository shortcomings, and restricted researcher data access, X submitted and had its corrective action plan accepted in July 2026. Ongoing probes into recommender systems and Grok AI outputs have prompted adjustments rather than platform-level blocks, consistent with the DSA's graduated approach of transparency orders and fines up to 6% of global turnover. Partial restrictions like age-based social media limits in France and Spain do not equate to country-wide bans, and no EU member state has moved to block access despite periodic political calls. Traders assign an 84% probability to "No" because historical enforcement patterns, X's engagement with authorities, and the high threshold for full prohibition make a ban by December 31, 2026, improbable absent a major escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the use of X/Twitter is banned within any European country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a “European country” is defined as any of the following sovereign states: Albania, Andorra, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Kosovo, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Moldova, Monaco, Montenegro, Netherlands, North Macedonia, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom, and Vatican City.
A ban will qualify if legislation is enacted or government action is taken to bar the respective country's citizens from downloading and/or viewing X/Twitter, and/or posting on X/Twitter. Any legislation or government action that meets these standards will qualify, regardless of whether or when the ban goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective government and X/Twitter; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “European country” is defined as any of the following sovereign states: Albania, Andorra, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Kosovo, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Moldova, Monaco, Montenegro, Netherlands, North Macedonia, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom, and Vatican City.
A ban will qualify if legislation is enacted or government action is taken to bar the respective country's citizens from downloading and/or viewing X/Twitter, and/or posting on X/Twitter. Any legislation or government action that meets these standards will qualify, regardless of whether or when the ban goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective government and X/Twitter; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
音量
$13,336終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the use of X/Twitter is banned within any European country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a “European country” is defined as any of the following sovereign states: Albania, Andorra, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Kosovo, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Moldova, Monaco, Montenegro, Netherlands, North Macedonia, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom, and Vatican City.
A ban will qualify if legislation is enacted or government action is taken to bar the respective country's citizens from downloading and/or viewing X/Twitter, and/or posting on X/Twitter. Any legislation or government action that meets these standards will qualify, regardless of whether or when the ban goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective government and X/Twitter; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.EU regulators continue prioritizing DSA compliance enforcement over outright bans on X. Following the European Commission's December 2025 €120 million fine for issues including deceptive blue-check verification, ad repository shortcomings, and restricted researcher data access, X submitted and had its corrective action plan accepted in July 2026. Ongoing probes into recommender systems and Grok AI outputs have prompted adjustments rather than platform-level blocks, consistent with the DSA's graduated approach of transparency orders and fines up to 6% of global turnover. Partial restrictions like age-based social media limits in France and Spain do not equate to country-wide bans, and no EU member state has moved to block access despite periodic political calls. Traders assign an 84% probability to "No" because historical enforcement patterns, X's engagement with authorities, and the high threshold for full prohibition make a ban by December 31, 2026, improbable absent a major escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the use of X/Twitter is banned within any European country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a “European country” is defined as any of the following sovereign states: Albania, Andorra, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Kosovo, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Moldova, Monaco, Montenegro, Netherlands, North Macedonia, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom, and Vatican City.
A ban will qualify if legislation is enacted or government action is taken to bar the respective country's citizens from downloading and/or viewing X/Twitter, and/or posting on X/Twitter. Any legislation or government action that meets these standards will qualify, regardless of whether or when the ban goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective government and X/Twitter; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “European country” is defined as any of the following sovereign states: Albania, Andorra, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Kosovo, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Moldova, Monaco, Montenegro, Netherlands, North Macedonia, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom, and Vatican City.
A ban will qualify if legislation is enacted or government action is taken to bar the respective country's citizens from downloading and/or viewing X/Twitter, and/or posting on X/Twitter. Any legislation or government action that meets these standards will qualify, regardless of whether or when the ban goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective government and X/Twitter; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$13,336終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...EU regulators continue prioritizing DSA compliance enforcement over outright bans on X. Following the European Commission's December 2025 €120 million fine for issues including deceptive blue-check verification, ad repository shortcomings, and restricted researcher data access, X submitted and had its corrective action plan accepted in July 2026. Ongoing probes into recommender systems and Grok AI outputs have prompted adjustments rather than platform-level blocks, consistent with the DSA's graduated approach of transparency orders and fines up to 6% of global turnover. Partial restrictions like age-based social media limits in France and Spain do not equate to country-wide bans, and no EU member state has moved to block access despite periodic political calls. Traders assign an 84% probability to "No" because historical enforcement patterns, X's engagement with authorities, and the high threshold for full prohibition make a ban by December 31, 2026, improbable absent a major escalation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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