Peter Fiabáne, the incumbent mayor of Žilina since 2018, holds a commanding position in the October 24, 2026, municipal election as an independent backed by parties including PS, SaS, KDH, and Demokrati. Traders assign him roughly 80% implied probability due to his record on infrastructure, public space development, and administrative continuity, which outweighs challengers in most assessments. Rastislav Johanes, a surgeon and regional councilor, has emerged as the clearest alternative, with his odds tightening notably in late August betting markets amid rising wagers on his platform focused on housing and transparent investment. Lower-probability candidates such as Peter Cibulka, Anton Kozlík, and Miroslav Sokol remain marginal, reflecting limited campaign traction or name recognition relative to the two frontrunners. The race centers on issues like affordable housing, transport, and local services, with the election date and candidate field now largely settled.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ピーター・フィアバーネ 80%
ラスティスラフ・ヨハネス 15%
アントン・コズリーク 2.2%
ペーター・チブルカ <1%

ピーター・フィアバーネ
80%

ラスティスラフ・ヨハネス
15%

アントン・コズリーク
2%

ペーター・チブルカ
1%

ミロスラフ・ソコル
<1%
ピーター・フィアバーネ 80%
ラスティスラフ・ヨハネス 15%
アントン・コズリーク 2.2%
ペーター・チブルカ <1%

ピーター・フィアバーネ
80%

ラスティスラフ・ヨハネス
15%

アントン・コズリーク
2%

ペーター・チブルカ
1%

ミロスラフ・ソコル
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Žilina as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Žilina, Žilina Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).
マーケット開始日: Aug 31, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Žilina as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Žilina, Žilina Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).
Peter Fiabáne, the incumbent mayor of Žilina since 2018, holds a commanding position in the October 24, 2026, municipal election as an independent backed by parties including PS, SaS, KDH, and Demokrati. Traders assign him roughly 80% implied probability due to his record on infrastructure, public space development, and administrative continuity, which outweighs challengers in most assessments. Rastislav Johanes, a surgeon and regional councilor, has emerged as the clearest alternative, with his odds tightening notably in late August betting markets amid rising wagers on his platform focused on housing and transparent investment. Lower-probability candidates such as Peter Cibulka, Anton Kozlík, and Miroslav Sokol remain marginal, reflecting limited campaign traction or name recognition relative to the two frontrunners. The race centers on issues like affordable housing, transport, and local services, with the election date and candidate field now largely settled.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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