Bangladesh's dominant display in the opening Test at Darwin has shaped trader consensus around their series prospects. On a surface offering assistance to seamers, the visitors posted 426 after Australia managed only 198, with Tanzid Hasan’s maiden Test century and captain Najmul Hossain Shanto’s 84 anchoring the innings while Hasan Mahmud claimed career-best figures of 6 for 55. Australia’s second-innings reply reached 161 for 4 by stumps on day three, still 67 runs adrift, leaving them under pressure to avoid a heavy defeat before the second Test in Mackay. Bangladesh’s recent form, including four wins in five completed matches ahead of the tour, combined with Australia’s top-order fragility and the visitors’ first-innings lead, has shifted implied probabilities firmly toward a Bangladesh series victory. The low draw price reflects the likelihood of a result in both matches given conditions and momentum.
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Australia – Bangladesh
Moneyline
$153K Vol.
Team Top Batter
$0 Vol.
Toss Winner
$126 Vol.
Match goes to Day 3?
$2.2K Vol.
Match goes to Day 4?
$0 Vol.
Match goes to Day 5?
$2 Vol.
DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins.
If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve to draw.
If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market will resolve to draw.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
マーケット開始日: Aug 6, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Australia – Bangladesh
Moneyline
$153K Vol.
Team Top Batter
$0 Vol.
Toss Winner
$126 Vol.
Match goes to Day 3?
$2.2K Vol.
Match goes to Day 4?
$0 Vol.
Match goes to Day 5?
$2 Vol.
DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins.
If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve to draw.
If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market will resolve to draw.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
マーケット開始日: Aug 6, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Bangladesh's dominant display in the opening Test at Darwin has shaped trader consensus around their series prospects. On a surface offering assistance to seamers, the visitors posted 426 after Australia managed only 198, with Tanzid Hasan’s maiden Test century and captain Najmul Hossain Shanto’s 84 anchoring the innings while Hasan Mahmud claimed career-best figures of 6 for 55. Australia’s second-innings reply reached 161 for 4 by stumps on day three, still 67 runs adrift, leaving them under pressure to avoid a heavy defeat before the second Test in Mackay. Bangladesh’s recent form, including four wins in five completed matches ahead of the tour, combined with Australia’s top-order fragility and the visitors’ first-innings lead, has shifted implied probabilities firmly toward a Bangladesh series victory. The low draw price reflects the likelihood of a result in both matches given conditions and momentum.
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