The 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills remains in its pre-tournament phase, with the first round set to begin June 18, leaving the third-round leader market unusually wide open. No player has posted a competitive score yet on the demanding layout, where past U.S. Opens have produced volatile leaderboards and few rounds under par. This uncertainty spreads implied probabilities across dozens of contenders, as recent form, course history, and ball-striking consistency all factor into early positioning without any on-site data to separate the field. Power rankings highlight Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, and Xander Schauffele among the top tier, yet the tight clustering around 25-50% reflects how quickly mid-round leads can shift on a course that punishes errant approaches and rewards steady iron play. Weather, pairings, and early momentum will likely compress or expand these odds once play starts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Cameron Young 49%
Matt Fitzpatrick 49%
Robert MacIntyre 49%
Ryan Gerard 49%
Cameron Young
49%
Matt Fitzpatrick
49%
Robert MacIntyre
49%
Ryan Gerard
49%
Patrick Cantlay
49%
Jordan Spieth
49%
Jon Rahm
49%
Chris Gotterup
49%
Justin Thomas
49%
Hideki Matsuyama
49%
Nicolai Højgaard
49%
Min Woo Lee
49%
Joaquin Niemann
49%
Scottie Scheffler
49%
Alex Noren
49%
Bryson DeChambeau
49%
Cameron Smith
49%
Ludvig Åberg
49%
Si Woo Kim
49%
Akshay Bhatia
49%
Alex Smalley
49%
Shane Lowry
49%
Adam Scott
49%
Daniel Berger
49%
Carlos Ortiz
49%
Lucas Herbert
49%
Laurie Canter
49%
Russell Henley
49%
Tyrrell Hatton
49%
Jacob Bridgeman
49%
Kristoffer Reitan
49%
Viktor Hovland
49%
Maverick McNealy
49%
Keegan Bradley
49%
Bud Cauley
49%
Michael Kim
49%
Dustin Johnson
49%
David Puig
49%
Aaron Rai
46%
Patrick Reed
45%
Jake Knapp
45%
Ben Griffin
44%
Collin Morikawa
44%
J.J. Spaun
40%
Xander Schauffele
33%
Rory McIlroy
28%
Tommy Fleetwood
28%
Rickie Fowler
28%
Gary Woodland
27%
Sam Burns
27%
Wyndham Clark
27%
Sepp Straka
27%
Harris English
27%
J.T. Poston
27%
Jason Day
27%
Kurt Kitayama
27%
Justin Rose
25%
Cameron Young 49%
Matt Fitzpatrick 49%
Robert MacIntyre 49%
Ryan Gerard 49%
Cameron Young
49%
Matt Fitzpatrick
49%
Robert MacIntyre
49%
Ryan Gerard
49%
Patrick Cantlay
49%
Jordan Spieth
49%
Jon Rahm
49%
Chris Gotterup
49%
Justin Thomas
49%
Hideki Matsuyama
49%
Nicolai Højgaard
49%
Min Woo Lee
49%
Joaquin Niemann
49%
Scottie Scheffler
49%
Alex Noren
49%
Bryson DeChambeau
49%
Cameron Smith
49%
Ludvig Åberg
49%
Si Woo Kim
49%
Akshay Bhatia
49%
Alex Smalley
49%
Shane Lowry
49%
Adam Scott
49%
Daniel Berger
49%
Carlos Ortiz
49%
Lucas Herbert
49%
Laurie Canter
49%
Russell Henley
49%
Tyrrell Hatton
49%
Jacob Bridgeman
49%
Kristoffer Reitan
49%
Viktor Hovland
49%
Maverick McNealy
49%
Keegan Bradley
49%
Bud Cauley
49%
Michael Kim
49%
Dustin Johnson
49%
David Puig
49%
Aaron Rai
46%
Patrick Reed
45%
Jake Knapp
45%
Ben Griffin
44%
Collin Morikawa
44%
J.J. Spaun
40%
Xander Schauffele
33%
Rory McIlroy
28%
Tommy Fleetwood
28%
Rickie Fowler
28%
Gary Woodland
27%
Sam Burns
27%
Wyndham Clark
27%
Sepp Straka
27%
Harris English
27%
J.T. Poston
27%
Jason Day
27%
Kurt Kitayama
27%
Justin Rose
25%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 3. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 3 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
마켓 개설일: Jun 16, 2026, 1:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 3. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 3 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills remains in its pre-tournament phase, with the first round set to begin June 18, leaving the third-round leader market unusually wide open. No player has posted a competitive score yet on the demanding layout, where past U.S. Opens have produced volatile leaderboards and few rounds under par. This uncertainty spreads implied probabilities across dozens of contenders, as recent form, course history, and ball-striking consistency all factor into early positioning without any on-site data to separate the field. Power rankings highlight Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, and Xander Schauffele among the top tier, yet the tight clustering around 25-50% reflects how quickly mid-round leads can shift on a course that punishes errant approaches and rewards steady iron play. Weather, pairings, and early momentum will likely compress or expand these odds once play starts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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