Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate, currently near 1,436–1,441 as of mid-June 2026, trades within a managed crawling band that widens monthly in line with lagged inflation. Persistent though declining price pressures—May 2026 CPI at 33.6% year-over-year—along with BCRA market survey medians projecting roughly 1,658 by December, underpin trader pricing that assigns a 44% probability to a close above 1,600. Fiscal surpluses and reserve-building purchases provide some support, yet the band’s inflation-linked adjustment and lingering external financing needs keep the path of gradual peso weakening as the dominant market-implied outcome through year-end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트1600.00+ 62%
1400.00–1449.99 7.7%
1450.00–1499.99 4.0%
1350.00–1399.99 3.9%
<1250.00
2%
1250.00–1299.99
3%
1300.00–1349.99
2%
1350.00–1399.99
4%
1400.00–1449.99
8%
1450.00–1499.99
4%
1500.00–1549.99
2%
1550.00–1599.99
2%
1600.00+
60%
1600.00+ 62%
1400.00–1449.99 7.7%
1450.00–1499.99 4.0%
1350.00–1399.99 3.9%
<1250.00
2%
1250.00–1299.99
3%
1300.00–1349.99
2%
1350.00–1399.99
4%
1400.00–1449.99
8%
1450.00–1499.99
4%
1500.00–1549.99
2%
1550.00–1599.99
2%
1600.00+
60%
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
마켓 개설일: Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate, currently near 1,436–1,441 as of mid-June 2026, trades within a managed crawling band that widens monthly in line with lagged inflation. Persistent though declining price pressures—May 2026 CPI at 33.6% year-over-year—along with BCRA market survey medians projecting roughly 1,658 by December, underpin trader pricing that assigns a 44% probability to a close above 1,600. Fiscal surpluses and reserve-building purchases provide some support, yet the band’s inflation-linked adjustment and lingering external financing needs keep the path of gradual peso weakening as the dominant market-implied outcome through year-end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문