Recent poor results for Labour in the May 2026 local elections have intensified internal pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer, prompting positioning by potential leadership candidates. Health Secretary Wes Streeting resigned on May 15 citing lost confidence in Starmer, while Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham has cleared a path to re-enter Parliament via a Makerfield by-election to strengthen any bid. Former Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner, recently cleared on tax matters, and Energy Secretary Ed Miliband have also been mentioned by MPs as possible contenders. A contest requires nominations from 20 percent of Labour MPs before a vote among party members, with current activity centered on coalition-building among soft-left and centrist factions ahead of any formal challenge.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$15,459 거래량
2026.12.31
Keir Starmer
24%
Wes Streeting
73%
Ed Miliband
48%
Angela Rayner
47%
Al Carns
41%
Andy Burnham
70%
$15,459 거래량
Keir Starmer
$6,801 거래량
24%
Wes Streeting
$3,398 거래량
73%
Ed Miliband
$207 거래량
48%
Angela Rayner
$584 거래량
47%
Al Carns
$1,358 거래량
41%
Andy Burnham
$3,111 거래량
70%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is an official candidate in the next United Kingdom Labour Party leadership election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Official candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election. Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot.
If a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed individual becomes the next leader of the Labour Party without any competitive ballot election, that will suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent poor results for Labour in the May 2026 local elections have intensified internal pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer, prompting positioning by potential leadership candidates. Health Secretary Wes Streeting resigned on May 15 citing lost confidence in Starmer, while Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham has cleared a path to re-enter Parliament via a Makerfield by-election to strengthen any bid. Former Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner, recently cleared on tax matters, and Energy Secretary Ed Miliband have also been mentioned by MPs as possible contenders. A contest requires nominations from 20 percent of Labour MPs before a vote among party members, with current activity centered on coalition-building among soft-left and centrist factions ahead of any formal challenge.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is an official candidate in the next United Kingdom Labour Party leadership election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Official candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election. Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot.
If a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed individual becomes the next leader of the Labour Party without any competitive ballot election, that will suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
“Official candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election. Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot.
If a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed individual becomes the next leader of the Labour Party without any competitive ballot election, that will suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 2:50 PM ET
거래량
$15,459종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 2:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is an official candidate in the next United Kingdom Labour Party leadership election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Official candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election. Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot.
If a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed individual becomes the next leader of the Labour Party without any competitive ballot election, that will suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent poor results for Labour in the May 2026 local elections have intensified internal pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer, prompting positioning by potential leadership candidates. Health Secretary Wes Streeting resigned on May 15 citing lost confidence in Starmer, while Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham has cleared a path to re-enter Parliament via a Makerfield by-election to strengthen any bid. Former Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner, recently cleared on tax matters, and Energy Secretary Ed Miliband have also been mentioned by MPs as possible contenders. A contest requires nominations from 20 percent of Labour MPs before a vote among party members, with current activity centered on coalition-building among soft-left and centrist factions ahead of any formal challenge.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is an official candidate in the next United Kingdom Labour Party leadership election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Official candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election. Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot.
If a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed individual becomes the next leader of the Labour Party without any competitive ballot election, that will suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
“Official candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election. Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot.
If a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed individual becomes the next leader of the Labour Party without any competitive ballot election, that will suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$15,459종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 2:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent poor results for Labour in the May 2026 local elections have intensified internal pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer, prompting positioning by potential leadership candidates. Health Secretary Wes Streeting resigned on May 15 citing lost confidence in Starmer, while Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham has cleared a path to re-enter Parliament via a Makerfield by-election to strengthen any bid. Former Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner, recently cleared on tax matters, and Energy Secretary Ed Miliband have also been mentioned by MPs as possible contenders. A contest requires nominations from 20 percent of Labour MPs before a vote among party members, with current activity centered on coalition-building among soft-left and centrist factions ahead of any formal challenge.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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