Trader consensus prices a 64.5% chance the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions—enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act and effective since January 2026—will remain through year-end, reflecting stalled repeal efforts in Congress despite recent high-profile lobbying. UFC CEO Dana White's May 11 letter to President Trump urged reversal to protect legal betting markets, briefly boosting yes odds above 30% before settling, but no executive action or legislative vehicle has advanced. Bipartisan bills like the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act faced early blocks, including by a House panel in January, amid competing tax priorities such as TCJA extensions; revenue projections of over $1 billion further entrench the provision barring near-term change.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$68,235 거래량
$68,235 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$68,235 거래량
$68,235 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trader consensus prices a 64.5% chance the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions—enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act and effective since January 2026—will remain through year-end, reflecting stalled repeal efforts in Congress despite recent high-profile lobbying. UFC CEO Dana White's May 11 letter to President Trump urged reversal to protect legal betting markets, briefly boosting yes odds above 30% before settling, but no executive action or legislative vehicle has advanced. Bipartisan bills like the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act faced early blocks, including by a House panel in January, amid competing tax priorities such as TCJA extensions; revenue projections of over $1 billion further entrench the provision barring near-term change.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
거래량
$68,235종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trader consensus prices a 64.5% chance the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions—enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act and effective since January 2026—will remain through year-end, reflecting stalled repeal efforts in Congress despite recent high-profile lobbying. UFC CEO Dana White's May 11 letter to President Trump urged reversal to protect legal betting markets, briefly boosting yes odds above 30% before settling, but no executive action or legislative vehicle has advanced. Bipartisan bills like the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act faced early blocks, including by a House panel in January, amid competing tax priorities such as TCJA extensions; revenue projections of over $1 billion further entrench the provision barring near-term change.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$68,235종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a 64.5% chance the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions—enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act and effective since January 2026—will remain through year-end, reflecting stalled repeal efforts in Congress despite recent high-profile lobbying. UFC CEO Dana White's May 11 letter to President Trump urged reversal to protect legal betting markets, briefly boosting yes odds above 30% before settling, but no executive action or legislative vehicle has advanced. Bipartisan bills like the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act faced early blocks, including by a House panel in January, amid competing tax priorities such as TCJA extensions; revenue projections of over $1 billion further entrench the provision barring near-term change.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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