Trump’s major 2025 tax legislation, the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, permanently extended key TCJA individual rate provisions and related deductions but left long-term capital gains rates unchanged at their existing 0/15/20 percent structure. Subsequent discussions have centered on narrower ideas such as inflation indexing of basis or expanded exclusions for primary residences, yet none have advanced into enacted law or firm legislative vehicles with timelines reaching 2027. Congressional attention has instead prioritized spending restraint, tariff implementation, and other fiscal measures amid rising debt projections, reducing near-term momentum for a standalone rate cut. With roughly six months remaining before the 2027 threshold and no scheduled floor action or reconciliation vehicle explicitly targeting long-term capital gains reductions, trader pricing reflects the absence of concrete progress and the limited remaining legislative calendar.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.12.31
신규
신규
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s major 2025 tax legislation, the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, permanently extended key TCJA individual rate provisions and related deductions but left long-term capital gains rates unchanged at their existing 0/15/20 percent structure. Subsequent discussions have centered on narrower ideas such as inflation indexing of basis or expanded exclusions for primary residences, yet none have advanced into enacted law or firm legislative vehicles with timelines reaching 2027. Congressional attention has instead prioritized spending restraint, tariff implementation, and other fiscal measures amid rising debt projections, reducing near-term momentum for a standalone rate cut. With roughly six months remaining before the 2027 threshold and no scheduled floor action or reconciliation vehicle explicitly targeting long-term capital gains reductions, trader pricing reflects the absence of concrete progress and the limited remaining legislative calendar.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ET
거래량
$1,765종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s major 2025 tax legislation, the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, permanently extended key TCJA individual rate provisions and related deductions but left long-term capital gains rates unchanged at their existing 0/15/20 percent structure. Subsequent discussions have centered on narrower ideas such as inflation indexing of basis or expanded exclusions for primary residences, yet none have advanced into enacted law or firm legislative vehicles with timelines reaching 2027. Congressional attention has instead prioritized spending restraint, tariff implementation, and other fiscal measures amid rising debt projections, reducing near-term momentum for a standalone rate cut. With roughly six months remaining before the 2027 threshold and no scheduled floor action or reconciliation vehicle explicitly targeting long-term capital gains reductions, trader pricing reflects the absence of concrete progress and the limited remaining legislative calendar.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$1,765종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s major 2025 tax legislation, the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, permanently extended key TCJA individual rate provisions and related deductions but left long-term capital gains rates unchanged at their existing 0/15/20 percent structure. Subsequent discussions have centered on narrower ideas such as inflation indexing of basis or expanded exclusions for primary residences, yet none have advanced into enacted law or firm legislative vehicles with timelines reaching 2027. Congressional attention has instead prioritized spending restraint, tariff implementation, and other fiscal measures amid rising debt projections, reducing near-term momentum for a standalone rate cut. With roughly six months remaining before the 2027 threshold and no scheduled floor action or reconciliation vehicle explicitly targeting long-term capital gains reductions, trader pricing reflects the absence of concrete progress and the limited remaining legislative calendar.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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