Ongoing US-Iran negotiations center on extending the April 2026 ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, limiting Iran's nuclear program and enriched uranium stockpile, and easing sanctions, with President Trump and Iranian officials exchanging demands through mediators. Recent US strikes on Iranian targets in early June 2026, followed by Iranian missile and drone responses, have heightened tensions and prompted renewed warnings of escalation if no agreement emerges. Both sides cite prior breakdowns, including 2025 talks and the 12-Day War, while Iran seeks simultaneous concessions and asset releases, and the US emphasizes verifiable nuclear restraints. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether current brinkmanship yields a signed deal or renewed conflict before key deadlines.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
2026.08.01
모하메드 빈 자이드 알 나하얀
45%
하마드 빈 이사 알 칼리파
45%
미샬 알-아흐마드 알-자베르 알-사바
44%
벤자민 네타냐후
44%
무함마드 빈 살만
44%
레제프 타이이프 에르도안
44%
압둘라 2세 국왕
44%
셰바즈 샤리프
43%
마르코 루비오
43%
마수드 페제슈키안
43%
아바스 아라그치
43%
스티브 위트코프
43%
타밈 빈 하마드 알 타니 셰이크
43%
도널드 트럼프
43%
압델 파타 엘시시
37%
알리 라리자니
33%
모즈타바 하메네이
28%
피트 헥셋
18%
JD 밴스
57%
$77 거래량
모하메드 빈 자이드 알 나하얀
$0 거래량
45%
하마드 빈 이사 알 칼리파
$0 거래량
45%
미샬 알-아흐마드 알-자베르 알-사바
$0 거래량
44%
벤자민 네타냐후
$17 거래량
44%
무함마드 빈 살만
$0 거래량
44%
레제프 타이이프 에르도안
$0 거래량
44%
압둘라 2세 국왕
$0 거래량
44%
셰바즈 샤리프
$0 거래량
43%
마르코 루비오
$0 거래량
43%
마수드 페제슈키안
$0 거래량
43%
아바스 아라그치
$0 거래량
43%
스티브 위트코프
$0 거래량
43%
타밈 빈 하마드 알 타니 셰이크
$0 거래량
43%
도널드 트럼프
$0 거래량
43%
압델 파타 엘시시
$0 거래량
37%
알리 라리자니
$15 거래량
33%
모즈타바 하메네이
$0 거래량
28%
피트 헥셋
$12 거래량
18%
JD 밴스
$33 거래량
57%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing US-Iran negotiations center on extending the April 2026 ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, limiting Iran's nuclear program and enriched uranium stockpile, and easing sanctions, with President Trump and Iranian officials exchanging demands through mediators. Recent US strikes on Iranian targets in early June 2026, followed by Iranian missile and drone responses, have heightened tensions and prompted renewed warnings of escalation if no agreement emerges. Both sides cite prior breakdowns, including 2025 talks and the 12-Day War, while Iran seeks simultaneous concessions and asset releases, and the US emphasizes verifiable nuclear restraints. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether current brinkmanship yields a signed deal or renewed conflict before key deadlines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jun 11, 2026, 8:24 PM ET
거래량
$77종료일
2026.08.01마켓 개설일
Jun 11, 2026, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing US-Iran negotiations center on extending the April 2026 ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, limiting Iran's nuclear program and enriched uranium stockpile, and easing sanctions, with President Trump and Iranian officials exchanging demands through mediators. Recent US strikes on Iranian targets in early June 2026, followed by Iranian missile and drone responses, have heightened tensions and prompted renewed warnings of escalation if no agreement emerges. Both sides cite prior breakdowns, including 2025 talks and the 12-Day War, while Iran seeks simultaneous concessions and asset releases, and the US emphasizes verifiable nuclear restraints. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether current brinkmanship yields a signed deal or renewed conflict before key deadlines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$77종료일
2026.08.01마켓 개설일
Jun 11, 2026, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran negotiations center on extending the April 2026 ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, limiting Iran's nuclear program and enriched uranium stockpile, and easing sanctions, with President Trump and Iranian officials exchanging demands through mediators. Recent US strikes on Iranian targets in early June 2026, followed by Iranian missile and drone responses, have heightened tensions and prompted renewed warnings of escalation if no agreement emerges. Both sides cite prior breakdowns, including 2025 talks and the 12-Day War, while Iran seeks simultaneous concessions and asset releases, and the US emphasizes verifiable nuclear restraints. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether current brinkmanship yields a signed deal or renewed conflict before key deadlines.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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