**No new country is expected to join the Abraham Accords by July 31, 2026, consistent with the 72% implied probability on “No.”** Diplomatic momentum has slowed since Kazakhstan’s accession in late 2025 and Somaliland’s pledge the same year. Potential candidates such as Saudi Arabia continue to condition normalization on concrete progress toward a Palestinian state, a position reaffirmed in recent months amid ongoing regional tensions. President Trump’s May 2026 public calls for Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and others to join produced no immediate follow-through or scheduled signings. Syria and Lebanon remain distant due to unresolved bilateral issues and domestic constraints. With the July 31 deadline now weeks away and no active negotiations or announcements indicating an imminent agreement, trader consensus reflects the absence of short-term catalysts capable of overcoming these structural barriers.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.07.31
신규
신규
2026.07.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.**No new country is expected to join the Abraham Accords by July 31, 2026, consistent with the 72% implied probability on “No.”**
Diplomatic momentum has slowed since Kazakhstan’s accession in late 2025 and Somaliland’s pledge the same year. Potential candidates such as Saudi Arabia continue to condition normalization on concrete progress toward a Palestinian state, a position reaffirmed in recent months amid ongoing regional tensions. President Trump’s May 2026 public calls for Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and others to join produced no immediate follow-through or scheduled signings. Syria and Lebanon remain distant due to unresolved bilateral issues and domestic constraints. With the July 31 deadline now weeks away and no active negotiations or announcements indicating an imminent agreement, trader consensus reflects the absence of short-term catalysts capable of overcoming these structural barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jun 29, 2026, 3:10 PM ET
거래량
$0종료일
2026.07.31마켓 개설일
Jun 29, 2026, 3:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.**No new country is expected to join the Abraham Accords by July 31, 2026, consistent with the 72% implied probability on “No.”**
Diplomatic momentum has slowed since Kazakhstan’s accession in late 2025 and Somaliland’s pledge the same year. Potential candidates such as Saudi Arabia continue to condition normalization on concrete progress toward a Palestinian state, a position reaffirmed in recent months amid ongoing regional tensions. President Trump’s May 2026 public calls for Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and others to join produced no immediate follow-through or scheduled signings. Syria and Lebanon remain distant due to unresolved bilateral issues and domestic constraints. With the July 31 deadline now weeks away and no active negotiations or announcements indicating an imminent agreement, trader consensus reflects the absence of short-term catalysts capable of overcoming these structural barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$0종료일
2026.07.31마켓 개설일
Jun 29, 2026, 3:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**No new country is expected to join the Abraham Accords by July 31, 2026, consistent with the 72% implied probability on “No.”** Diplomatic momentum has slowed since Kazakhstan’s accession in late 2025 and Somaliland’s pledge the same year. Potential candidates such as Saudi Arabia continue to condition normalization on concrete progress toward a Palestinian state, a position reaffirmed in recent months amid ongoing regional tensions. President Trump’s May 2026 public calls for Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and others to join produced no immediate follow-through or scheduled signings. Syria and Lebanon remain distant due to unresolved bilateral issues and domestic constraints. With the July 31 deadline now weeks away and no active negotiations or announcements indicating an imminent agreement, trader consensus reflects the absence of short-term catalysts capable of overcoming these structural barriers.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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