**Saudi Arabia's insistence on tangible progress toward a Palestinian state continues to block major expansion, outweighing recent U.S. diplomatic pressure.** Despite President Trump's May 2026 calls linking new accessions to an Iran peace framework and earlier bilateral meetings with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Riyadh has maintained its longstanding conditions without movement. Kazakhstan's November 2025 accession and Somaliland's December pledge were largely symbolic, as both already maintained ties with Israel. Syria has signaled reluctance amid border frictions, while other candidates like Qatar and Pakistan have shown little concrete follow-through. With only months remaining before 2027 and no verified breakthroughs in the past six months, traders assign a modest edge to "No," viewing procedural and geopolitical barriers as durable in the near term.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
$186,912 거래량
$186,912 거래량
2026.12.31
$186,912 거래량
$186,912 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.**Saudi Arabia's insistence on tangible progress toward a Palestinian state continues to block major expansion, outweighing recent U.S. diplomatic pressure.** Despite President Trump's May 2026 calls linking new accessions to an Iran peace framework and earlier bilateral meetings with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Riyadh has maintained its longstanding conditions without movement. Kazakhstan's November 2025 accession and Somaliland's December pledge were largely symbolic, as both already maintained ties with Israel. Syria has signaled reluctance amid border frictions, while other candidates like Qatar and Pakistan have shown little concrete follow-through. With only months remaining before 2027 and no verified breakthroughs in the past six months, traders assign a modest edge to "No," viewing procedural and geopolitical barriers as durable in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ET
거래량
$186,912종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.**Saudi Arabia's insistence on tangible progress toward a Palestinian state continues to block major expansion, outweighing recent U.S. diplomatic pressure.** Despite President Trump's May 2026 calls linking new accessions to an Iran peace framework and earlier bilateral meetings with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Riyadh has maintained its longstanding conditions without movement. Kazakhstan's November 2025 accession and Somaliland's December pledge were largely symbolic, as both already maintained ties with Israel. Syria has signaled reluctance amid border frictions, while other candidates like Qatar and Pakistan have shown little concrete follow-through. With only months remaining before 2027 and no verified breakthroughs in the past six months, traders assign a modest edge to "No," viewing procedural and geopolitical barriers as durable in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$186,912종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Saudi Arabia's insistence on tangible progress toward a Palestinian state continues to block major expansion, outweighing recent U.S. diplomatic pressure.** Despite President Trump's May 2026 calls linking new accessions to an Iran peace framework and earlier bilateral meetings with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Riyadh has maintained its longstanding conditions without movement. Kazakhstan's November 2025 accession and Somaliland's December pledge were largely symbolic, as both already maintained ties with Israel. Syria has signaled reluctance amid border frictions, while other candidates like Qatar and Pakistan have shown little concrete follow-through. With only months remaining before 2027 and no verified breakthroughs in the past six months, traders assign a modest edge to "No," viewing procedural and geopolitical barriers as durable in the near term.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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