No new countries have formally recognized Israel since late 2025, amid stalled Abraham Accords expansions and heightened Middle East tensions from the ongoing Gaza conflict and cross-border exchanges with Lebanon. As of early 2026, Israel holds diplomatic recognition from 163 UN members, with key holdouts including Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, Pakistan, Malaysia, and others conditioning ties on Palestinian statehood progress. Recent EU actions—such as Spain, Ireland, Norway, and Slovenia recognizing Palestine, alongside ambassador recalls and sanction threats—have cooled normalization prospects. Traders monitor potential US-brokered talks or Israeli election outcomes before June 30, though no breakthroughs or summits are scheduled, underscoring low implied probabilities for shifts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$319,126 거래량
북한
2%
쿠바
2%
사우디아라비아
3%
레바논
4%
아프가니스탄
1%
이라크
2%
파키스탄
1%
시리아
3%
베네수엘라
1%
튀니지
3%
쿠웨이트
2%
카타르
3%
인도네시아
1%
말레이시아
1%
방글라데시
3%
$319,126 거래량
북한
2%
쿠바
2%
사우디아라비아
3%
레바논
4%
아프가니스탄
1%
이라크
2%
파키스탄
1%
시리아
3%
베네수엘라
1%
튀니지
3%
쿠웨이트
2%
카타르
3%
인도네시아
1%
말레이시아
1%
방글라데시
3%
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...No new countries have formally recognized Israel since late 2025, amid stalled Abraham Accords expansions and heightened Middle East tensions from the ongoing Gaza conflict and cross-border exchanges with Lebanon. As of early 2026, Israel holds diplomatic recognition from 163 UN members, with key holdouts including Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, Pakistan, Malaysia, and others conditioning ties on Palestinian statehood progress. Recent EU actions—such as Spain, Ireland, Norway, and Slovenia recognizing Palestine, alongside ambassador recalls and sanction threats—have cooled normalization prospects. Traders monitor potential US-brokered talks or Israeli election outcomes before June 30, though no breakthroughs or summits are scheduled, underscoring low implied probabilities for shifts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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