Israel’s response to renewed Houthi ballistic missile and drone attacks launched from Yemen on 28 March 2026 forms the central driver of trader expectations. These strikes, the first by the group since the 2025 Gaza ceasefire and explicitly coordinated with Iranian and Hezbollah operations, targeted southern and central Israel and prompted Israeli air-defense activations. Prior Israeli operations against Houthi infrastructure in late 2024 and 2025 established a pattern of targeted retaliation to disrupt launch capabilities and Red Sea threats. Current sentiment reflects assessments of whether Israeli leaders will again authorize strikes inside Yemen before any specified resolution date, balanced against risks of further regional escalation and ongoing U.S.-Israeli focus on Iran. No major diplomatic de-escalation has occurred since the March attacks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$1,731,090 거래량
2026.05.31
5월 31일
17%
6월 30일
23%
$1,731,090 거래량
5월 31일
$114,811 거래량
17%
6월 30일
$463,269 거래량
23%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israel’s response to renewed Houthi ballistic missile and drone attacks launched from Yemen on 28 March 2026 forms the central driver of trader expectations. These strikes, the first by the group since the 2025 Gaza ceasefire and explicitly coordinated with Iranian and Hezbollah operations, targeted southern and central Israel and prompted Israeli air-defense activations. Prior Israeli operations against Houthi infrastructure in late 2024 and 2025 established a pattern of targeted retaliation to disrupt launch capabilities and Red Sea threats. Current sentiment reflects assessments of whether Israeli leaders will again authorize strikes inside Yemen before any specified resolution date, balanced against risks of further regional escalation and ongoing U.S.-Israeli focus on Iran. No major diplomatic de-escalation has occurred since the March attacks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Mar 18, 2026, 1:43 PM ET
거래량
$1,731,090종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Mar 18, 2026, 1:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israel’s response to renewed Houthi ballistic missile and drone attacks launched from Yemen on 28 March 2026 forms the central driver of trader expectations. These strikes, the first by the group since the 2025 Gaza ceasefire and explicitly coordinated with Iranian and Hezbollah operations, targeted southern and central Israel and prompted Israeli air-defense activations. Prior Israeli operations against Houthi infrastructure in late 2024 and 2025 established a pattern of targeted retaliation to disrupt launch capabilities and Red Sea threats. Current sentiment reflects assessments of whether Israeli leaders will again authorize strikes inside Yemen before any specified resolution date, balanced against risks of further regional escalation and ongoing U.S.-Israeli focus on Iran. No major diplomatic de-escalation has occurred since the March attacks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$1,731,090종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Mar 18, 2026, 1:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israel’s response to renewed Houthi ballistic missile and drone attacks launched from Yemen on 28 March 2026 forms the central driver of trader expectations. These strikes, the first by the group since the 2025 Gaza ceasefire and explicitly coordinated with Iranian and Hezbollah operations, targeted southern and central Israel and prompted Israeli air-defense activations. Prior Israeli operations against Houthi infrastructure in late 2024 and 2025 established a pattern of targeted retaliation to disrupt launch capabilities and Red Sea threats. Current sentiment reflects assessments of whether Israeli leaders will again authorize strikes inside Yemen before any specified resolution date, balanced against risks of further regional escalation and ongoing U.S.-Israeli focus on Iran. No major diplomatic de-escalation has occurred since the March attacks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문