Israeli ground operations remain concentrated south of the Litani River in Lebanon, with repeated Israeli airstrikes on Hezbollah targets in Beirut’s southern suburbs (Dahiya) in early June but no confirmed ground advance into the capital itself. US-mediated ceasefire talks in Washington produced conditional agreements in late May and early June that Israel would limit strikes on Beirut in exchange for Hezbollah halting attacks and withdrawing from southern zones; Hezbollah rejected these deals, insisting on full Israeli withdrawal. Ongoing exchanges, evacuation orders south of the Zahrani River, and Israeli statements tying further Beirut strikes to Hezbollah rocket or drone fire continue to shape trader assessments of escalation risk versus diplomatic containment.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$39,491 거래량

June 30
2%
$39,491 거래량

June 30
2%
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
마켓 개설일: May 26, 2026, 3:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli ground operations remain concentrated south of the Litani River in Lebanon, with repeated Israeli airstrikes on Hezbollah targets in Beirut’s southern suburbs (Dahiya) in early June but no confirmed ground advance into the capital itself. US-mediated ceasefire talks in Washington produced conditional agreements in late May and early June that Israel would limit strikes on Beirut in exchange for Hezbollah halting attacks and withdrawing from southern zones; Hezbollah rejected these deals, insisting on full Israeli withdrawal. Ongoing exchanges, evacuation orders south of the Zahrani River, and Israeli statements tying further Beirut strikes to Hezbollah rocket or drone fire continue to shape trader assessments of escalation risk versus diplomatic containment.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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