Israeli forces have expanded operations north of the Litani River in southern Lebanon since March 2026, crossing the river and seizing sites such as Beaufort Castle by late May amid renewed clashes with Hezbollah. This follows the November 2024 U.S.-brokered cessation of hostilities, under which Israel was to withdraw south of the Blue Line while Hezbollah forces and infrastructure moved north of the Litani and the Lebanese Armed Forces deployed to enforce state authority in the south. Israel has retained five strategic positions and buffer zones since its partial February 2025 pullback, citing incomplete Hezbollah withdrawal and risks of rearmament. Ongoing ground advances, bridge demolitions, and evacuation orders extending toward the Zahrani River reflect Israeli efforts to create deeper security zones pending Lebanese army control and verified demilitarization. UNIFIL’s mandate runs through December 2026, with a June 2026 UN report due on options for implementing Resolution 1701 after its drawdown. Trader assessments hinge on whether diplomatic mechanisms or battlefield conditions produce coordinated withdrawals by Israel and Hezbollah within any specified timeframe.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
2026.06.16
6월 15일
3%
6월 30일
6%
$6,418 거래량
6월 15일
$489 거래량
3%
6월 30일
$5,936 거래량
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli forces have expanded operations north of the Litani River in southern Lebanon since March 2026, crossing the river and seizing sites such as Beaufort Castle by late May amid renewed clashes with Hezbollah. This follows the November 2024 U.S.-brokered cessation of hostilities, under which Israel was to withdraw south of the Blue Line while Hezbollah forces and infrastructure moved north of the Litani and the Lebanese Armed Forces deployed to enforce state authority in the south. Israel has retained five strategic positions and buffer zones since its partial February 2025 pullback, citing incomplete Hezbollah withdrawal and risks of rearmament. Ongoing ground advances, bridge demolitions, and evacuation orders extending toward the Zahrani River reflect Israeli efforts to create deeper security zones pending Lebanese army control and verified demilitarization. UNIFIL’s mandate runs through December 2026, with a June 2026 UN report due on options for implementing Resolution 1701 after its drawdown. Trader assessments hinge on whether diplomatic mechanisms or battlefield conditions produce coordinated withdrawals by Israel and Hezbollah within any specified timeframe.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jun 7, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
거래량
$6,418마켓 개설일
Jun 7, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli forces have expanded operations north of the Litani River in southern Lebanon since March 2026, crossing the river and seizing sites such as Beaufort Castle by late May amid renewed clashes with Hezbollah. This follows the November 2024 U.S.-brokered cessation of hostilities, under which Israel was to withdraw south of the Blue Line while Hezbollah forces and infrastructure moved north of the Litani and the Lebanese Armed Forces deployed to enforce state authority in the south. Israel has retained five strategic positions and buffer zones since its partial February 2025 pullback, citing incomplete Hezbollah withdrawal and risks of rearmament. Ongoing ground advances, bridge demolitions, and evacuation orders extending toward the Zahrani River reflect Israeli efforts to create deeper security zones pending Lebanese army control and verified demilitarization. UNIFIL’s mandate runs through December 2026, with a June 2026 UN report due on options for implementing Resolution 1701 after its drawdown. Trader assessments hinge on whether diplomatic mechanisms or battlefield conditions produce coordinated withdrawals by Israel and Hezbollah within any specified timeframe.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
거래량
$6,418마켓 개설일
Jun 7, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli forces have expanded operations north of the Litani River in southern Lebanon since March 2026, crossing the river and seizing sites such as Beaufort Castle by late May amid renewed clashes with Hezbollah. This follows the November 2024 U.S.-brokered cessation of hostilities, under which Israel was to withdraw south of the Blue Line while Hezbollah forces and infrastructure moved north of the Litani and the Lebanese Armed Forces deployed to enforce state authority in the south. Israel has retained five strategic positions and buffer zones since its partial February 2025 pullback, citing incomplete Hezbollah withdrawal and risks of rearmament. Ongoing ground advances, bridge demolitions, and evacuation orders extending toward the Zahrani River reflect Israeli efforts to create deeper security zones pending Lebanese army control and verified demilitarization. UNIFIL’s mandate runs through December 2026, with a June 2026 UN report due on options for implementing Resolution 1701 after its drawdown. Trader assessments hinge on whether diplomatic mechanisms or battlefield conditions produce coordinated withdrawals by Israel and Hezbollah within any specified timeframe.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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