Despite ongoing Iranian statements in early June affirming coordination with Oman on Strait of Hormuz management, including transit fees and oversight aligned with international law, no finalized bilateral agreement has emerged. U.S. opposition, including President Trump’s explicit rejection of joint control or tolls in late May, has constrained progress amid a fragile post-conflict ceasefire. Recent ambassadorial remarks on new conditions set by both coastal states reflect continued dialogue but fall short of a binding protocol. With the June 15 deadline days away and no breakthrough announcements, trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to the absence of an accord.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$16,292 거래량
$16,292 거래량
2026.06.15
$16,292 거래량
$16,292 거래량
2026.06.15
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Despite ongoing Iranian statements in early June affirming coordination with Oman on Strait of Hormuz management, including transit fees and oversight aligned with international law, no finalized bilateral agreement has emerged. U.S. opposition, including President Trump’s explicit rejection of joint control or tolls in late May, has constrained progress amid a fragile post-conflict ceasefire. Recent ambassadorial remarks on new conditions set by both coastal states reflect continued dialogue but fall short of a binding protocol. With the June 15 deadline days away and no breakthrough announcements, trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to the absence of an accord.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
마켓 개설일: May 22, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
거래량
$16,292종료일
2026.06.15마켓 개설일
May 22, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Despite ongoing Iranian statements in early June affirming coordination with Oman on Strait of Hormuz management, including transit fees and oversight aligned with international law, no finalized bilateral agreement has emerged. U.S. opposition, including President Trump’s explicit rejection of joint control or tolls in late May, has constrained progress amid a fragile post-conflict ceasefire. Recent ambassadorial remarks on new conditions set by both coastal states reflect continued dialogue but fall short of a binding protocol. With the June 15 deadline days away and no breakthrough announcements, trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to the absence of an accord.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
거래량
$16,292종료일
2026.06.15마켓 개설일
May 22, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Despite ongoing Iranian statements in early June affirming coordination with Oman on Strait of Hormuz management, including transit fees and oversight aligned with international law, no finalized bilateral agreement has emerged. U.S. opposition, including President Trump’s explicit rejection of joint control or tolls in late May, has constrained progress amid a fragile post-conflict ceasefire. Recent ambassadorial remarks on new conditions set by both coastal states reflect continued dialogue but fall short of a binding protocol. With the June 15 deadline days away and no breakthrough announcements, trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to the absence of an accord.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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