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icon for Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by...?

Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by...?

icon for Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by...?

Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by...?

신규
2026.05.31
Polymarket

$527 거래량

Polymarket

May 22

$269 거래량

6%

May 31

$290 거래량

15%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia officially announces that U.S. military aircraft are not permitted to use its airspace or land in its territory, or announces that U.S. military aircraft are not allowed to use certain military bases within Saudi Arabia, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A restriction applying only to a subset of U.S. military aircraft, such as only aircraft involved in a specified U.S. military operation, will qualify. A qualifying restriction must be a standing policy; isolated instances of access denial will not count. A consensus of credible reporting that Saudi Arabia has implemented a qualifying restriction on U.S. military aircraft will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Saudi Arabia's temporary suspension of U.S. military access to Prince Sultan Airbase and its airspace in early May 2026 stemmed from concerns over Washington's "Project Freedom" operation in the Strait of Hormuz amid rising tensions with Iran. Riyadh halted overflights and basing rights shortly after the initiative launched, prompting an abrupt U.S. pause to preserve regional cooperation. Access was restored within days following direct talks between President Trump and Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, alongside similar steps by Kuwait. This episode highlights Saudi leverage over U.S. military logistics in the Gulf and ongoing diplomatic frictions tied to escalation risks, with future access decisions likely hinging on coordination around Hormuz security and bilateral security commitments.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia officially announces that U.S. military aircraft are not permitted to use its airspace or land in its territory, or announces that U.S. military aircraft are not allowed to use certain military bases within Saudi Arabia, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A restriction applying only to a subset of U.S. military aircraft, such as only aircraft involved in a specified U.S. military operation, will qualify.

A qualifying restriction must be a standing policy; isolated instances of access denial will not count.

A consensus of credible reporting that Saudi Arabia has implemented a qualifying restriction on U.S. military aircraft will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$527
종료일
2026.05.31
마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia officially announces that U.S. military aircraft are not permitted to use its airspace or land in its territory, or announces that U.S. military aircraft are not allowed to use certain military bases within Saudi Arabia, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A restriction applying only to a subset of U.S. military aircraft, such as only aircraft involved in a specified U.S. military operation, will qualify. A qualifying restriction must be a standing policy; isolated instances of access denial will not count. A consensus of credible reporting that Saudi Arabia has implemented a qualifying restriction on U.S. military aircraft will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia officially announces that U.S. military aircraft are not permitted to use its airspace or land in its territory, or announces that U.S. military aircraft are not allowed to use certain military bases within Saudi Arabia, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A restriction applying only to a subset of U.S. military aircraft, such as only aircraft involved in a specified U.S. military operation, will qualify. A qualifying restriction must be a standing policy; isolated instances of access denial will not count. A consensus of credible reporting that Saudi Arabia has implemented a qualifying restriction on U.S. military aircraft will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Saudi Arabia's temporary suspension of U.S. military access to Prince Sultan Airbase and its airspace in early May 2026 stemmed from concerns over Washington's "Project Freedom" operation in the Strait of Hormuz amid rising tensions with Iran. Riyadh halted overflights and basing rights shortly after the initiative launched, prompting an abrupt U.S. pause to preserve regional cooperation. Access was restored within days following direct talks between President Trump and Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, alongside similar steps by Kuwait. This episode highlights Saudi leverage over U.S. military logistics in the Gulf and ongoing diplomatic frictions tied to escalation risks, with future access decisions likely hinging on coordination around Hormuz security and bilateral security commitments.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia officially announces that U.S. military aircraft are not permitted to use its airspace or land in its territory, or announces that U.S. military aircraft are not allowed to use certain military bases within Saudi Arabia, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A restriction applying only to a subset of U.S. military aircraft, such as only aircraft involved in a specified U.S. military operation, will qualify.

A qualifying restriction must be a standing policy; isolated instances of access denial will not count.

A consensus of credible reporting that Saudi Arabia has implemented a qualifying restriction on U.S. military aircraft will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$527
종료일
2026.05.31
마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia officially announces that U.S. military aircraft are not permitted to use its airspace or land in its territory, or announces that U.S. military aircraft are not allowed to use certain military bases within Saudi Arabia, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A restriction applying only to a subset of U.S. military aircraft, such as only aircraft involved in a specified U.S. military operation, will qualify. A qualifying restriction must be a standing policy; isolated instances of access denial will not count. A consensus of credible reporting that Saudi Arabia has implemented a qualifying restriction on U.S. military aircraft will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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자주 묻는 질문

"Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by...?"은 2개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 14%의 "May 31"이며, 이어서 6%의 "May 22"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 14¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 14%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

"Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by...?"은 Polymarket에서 새로 생성된 마켓입니다, May 15, 2026에 시작됨. 초기 마켓으로서 확률을 설정하고 마켓의 초기 가격 신호를 수립하는 첫 번째 트레이더 중 하나가 될 기회입니다. 이 페이지를 북마크하여 마켓이 성장함에 따라 거래량과 거래 활동을 추적할 수도 있습니다.

"Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by...?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 2개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by...?"의 현재 유력 후보는 14%의 "May 31"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 14%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 6%의 "May 22"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by...?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.