US-mediated talks between Israeli and Lebanese officials have produced a June 2026 framework agreement outlining Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon, deployment of Lebanese Armed Forces, and steps toward Hezbollah disarmament. Multiple rounds of direct Washington meetings, including military participation, have advanced this security track amid repeated ceasefire extensions and violations. Hezbollah's subsequent rejection of the deal as undermining sovereignty, combined with renewed cross-border strikes, now shapes trader assessments of whether additional high-level diplomatic sessions can occur before key deadlines. Scheduled follow-on negotiations and any escalation or de-escalation signals from Hezbollah or the US remain primary variables for near-term market movement.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
2026.07.10
July 10
47%
July 17
46%
July 31
53%
$0.00 거래량
July 10
$0 거래량
47%
July 17
$0 거래량
46%
July 31
$0 거래량
53%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated talks between Israeli and Lebanese officials have produced a June 2026 framework agreement outlining Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon, deployment of Lebanese Armed Forces, and steps toward Hezbollah disarmament. Multiple rounds of direct Washington meetings, including military participation, have advanced this security track amid repeated ceasefire extensions and violations. Hezbollah's subsequent rejection of the deal as undermining sovereignty, combined with renewed cross-border strikes, now shapes trader assessments of whether additional high-level diplomatic sessions can occur before key deadlines. Scheduled follow-on negotiations and any escalation or de-escalation signals from Hezbollah or the US remain primary variables for near-term market movement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Jun 30, 2026, 1:23 PM ET
거래량
$0종료일
2026.07.31마켓 개설일
Jun 30, 2026, 1:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated talks between Israeli and Lebanese officials have produced a June 2026 framework agreement outlining Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon, deployment of Lebanese Armed Forces, and steps toward Hezbollah disarmament. Multiple rounds of direct Washington meetings, including military participation, have advanced this security track amid repeated ceasefire extensions and violations. Hezbollah's subsequent rejection of the deal as undermining sovereignty, combined with renewed cross-border strikes, now shapes trader assessments of whether additional high-level diplomatic sessions can occur before key deadlines. Scheduled follow-on negotiations and any escalation or de-escalation signals from Hezbollah or the US remain primary variables for near-term market movement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$0종료일
2026.07.31마켓 개설일
Jun 30, 2026, 1:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-mediated talks between Israeli and Lebanese officials have produced a June 2026 framework agreement outlining Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon, deployment of Lebanese Armed Forces, and steps toward Hezbollah disarmament. Multiple rounds of direct Washington meetings, including military participation, have advanced this security track amid repeated ceasefire extensions and violations. Hezbollah's subsequent rejection of the deal as undermining sovereignty, combined with renewed cross-border strikes, now shapes trader assessments of whether additional high-level diplomatic sessions can occur before key deadlines. Scheduled follow-on negotiations and any escalation or de-escalation signals from Hezbollah or the US remain primary variables for near-term market movement.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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