Ongoing deadlock in US-Iran nuclear negotiations over Tehran's refusal to accept limits on uranium enrichment has sustained trader skepticism that any agreement to halt all such activities will materialize by June 30. Iran has rejected US proposals for a long-term freeze, instead countering with demands for sanctions relief and continued enrichment rights under IAEA oversight, while recent statements from Iranian officials signal readiness to pursue higher purity levels amid regional tensions. IAEA-verified stockpiles of 60-percent enriched uranium remain a core verification obstacle, and indirect talks mediated through Oman have yielded no breakthrough in the past month. These positions align with Iran's longstanding red lines, leaving little scope for rapid resolution before the deadline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$1,380,977 거래량
$1,380,977 거래량
2026.06.30
예
$1,380,977 거래량
$1,380,977 거래량
2026.06.30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing deadlock in US-Iran nuclear negotiations over Tehran's refusal to accept limits on uranium enrichment has sustained trader skepticism that any agreement to halt all such activities will materialize by June 30. Iran has rejected US proposals for a long-term freeze, instead countering with demands for sanctions relief and continued enrichment rights under IAEA oversight, while recent statements from Iranian officials signal readiness to pursue higher purity levels amid regional tensions. IAEA-verified stockpiles of 60-percent enriched uranium remain a core verification obstacle, and indirect talks mediated through Oman have yielded no breakthrough in the past month. These positions align with Iran's longstanding red lines, leaving little scope for rapid resolution before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
거래량
$1,380,977종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing deadlock in US-Iran nuclear negotiations over Tehran's refusal to accept limits on uranium enrichment has sustained trader skepticism that any agreement to halt all such activities will materialize by June 30. Iran has rejected US proposals for a long-term freeze, instead countering with demands for sanctions relief and continued enrichment rights under IAEA oversight, while recent statements from Iranian officials signal readiness to pursue higher purity levels amid regional tensions. IAEA-verified stockpiles of 60-percent enriched uranium remain a core verification obstacle, and indirect talks mediated through Oman have yielded no breakthrough in the past month. These positions align with Iran's longstanding red lines, leaving little scope for rapid resolution before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$1,380,977종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing deadlock in US-Iran nuclear negotiations over Tehran's refusal to accept limits on uranium enrichment has sustained trader skepticism that any agreement to halt all such activities will materialize by June 30. Iran has rejected US proposals for a long-term freeze, instead countering with demands for sanctions relief and continued enrichment rights under IAEA oversight, while recent statements from Iranian officials signal readiness to pursue higher purity levels amid regional tensions. IAEA-verified stockpiles of 60-percent enriched uranium remain a core verification obstacle, and indirect talks mediated through Oman have yielded no breakthrough in the past month. These positions align with Iran's longstanding red lines, leaving little scope for rapid resolution before the deadline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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