President Trump launched Project Freedom on May 4, 2026, a US military operation to escort merchant ships through the Iran-blocked Strait of Hormuz amid attacks on shipping, but paused it within 48 hours due to Saudi Arabia's refusal to provide base access and optimism for diplomatic talks. Three days ago, following Iran's rejection of a US proposal, Trump indicated in a Fox News interview he is weighing a restart, potentially as an expanded "Project Freedom Plus" involving additional measures. Traders assess ongoing Persian Gulf tensions, stalled negotiations, and escalation risks from further Iranian actions, with no confirmed resumption timeline as diplomacy competes with military options ahead of potential shipping deadlines.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$140,786 거래량
May 15
3%
May 31
40%
$140,786 거래량
May 15
3%
May 31
40%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the United States military announces that Project Freedom will be restarted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement explicitly stating that “Project Freedom” will be restarted will qualify. Additionally, any announcement of a substantially equivalent United States military program to escort, protect, or retrieve commercial ships in or through the Strait of Hormuz will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, expressions of openness, reported preparations, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced program goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump, the United States government, and the United States military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: May 12, 2026, 11:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the United States military announces that Project Freedom will be restarted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement explicitly stating that “Project Freedom” will be restarted will qualify. Additionally, any announcement of a substantially equivalent United States military program to escort, protect, or retrieve commercial ships in or through the Strait of Hormuz will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, expressions of openness, reported preparations, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced program goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump, the United States government, and the United States military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump launched Project Freedom on May 4, 2026, a US military operation to escort merchant ships through the Iran-blocked Strait of Hormuz amid attacks on shipping, but paused it within 48 hours due to Saudi Arabia's refusal to provide base access and optimism for diplomatic talks. Three days ago, following Iran's rejection of a US proposal, Trump indicated in a Fox News interview he is weighing a restart, potentially as an expanded "Project Freedom Plus" involving additional measures. Traders assess ongoing Persian Gulf tensions, stalled negotiations, and escalation risks from further Iranian actions, with no confirmed resumption timeline as diplomacy competes with military options ahead of potential shipping deadlines.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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