Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations have produced mixed signals that sustain the near-even odds on a formal agreement to end uranium enrichment by year-end. Recent proposals include Iranian offers to downblend its 60 percent enriched stockpile to JCPOA-compliant levels and accept expanded IAEA monitoring, yet core gaps persist over the duration of any moratorium and Iran's asserted right to limited enrichment for civilian purposes. Diplomatic sessions in Islamabad and Geneva this spring highlighted these divides, with Washington pressing for longer-term restrictions and Tehran seeking sanctions relief in exchange for verifiable limits. Traders appear to weigh the momentum from ongoing Oman-mediated talks against the historical pattern of stalled nuclear diplomacy, leaving room for either a breakthrough on verification terms or renewed impasse before December.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$194,984 거래량
$194,984 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$194,984 거래량
$194,984 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations have produced mixed signals that sustain the near-even odds on a formal agreement to end uranium enrichment by year-end. Recent proposals include Iranian offers to downblend its 60 percent enriched stockpile to JCPOA-compliant levels and accept expanded IAEA monitoring, yet core gaps persist over the duration of any moratorium and Iran's asserted right to limited enrichment for civilian purposes. Diplomatic sessions in Islamabad and Geneva this spring highlighted these divides, with Washington pressing for longer-term restrictions and Tehran seeking sanctions relief in exchange for verifiable limits. Traders appear to weigh the momentum from ongoing Oman-mediated talks against the historical pattern of stalled nuclear diplomacy, leaving room for either a breakthrough on verification terms or renewed impasse before December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
거래량
$194,984종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations have produced mixed signals that sustain the near-even odds on a formal agreement to end uranium enrichment by year-end. Recent proposals include Iranian offers to downblend its 60 percent enriched stockpile to JCPOA-compliant levels and accept expanded IAEA monitoring, yet core gaps persist over the duration of any moratorium and Iran's asserted right to limited enrichment for civilian purposes. Diplomatic sessions in Islamabad and Geneva this spring highlighted these divides, with Washington pressing for longer-term restrictions and Tehran seeking sanctions relief in exchange for verifiable limits. Traders appear to weigh the momentum from ongoing Oman-mediated talks against the historical pattern of stalled nuclear diplomacy, leaving room for either a breakthrough on verification terms or renewed impasse before December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$194,984종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations have produced mixed signals that sustain the near-even odds on a formal agreement to end uranium enrichment by year-end. Recent proposals include Iranian offers to downblend its 60 percent enriched stockpile to JCPOA-compliant levels and accept expanded IAEA monitoring, yet core gaps persist over the duration of any moratorium and Iran's asserted right to limited enrichment for civilian purposes. Diplomatic sessions in Islamabad and Geneva this spring highlighted these divides, with Washington pressing for longer-term restrictions and Tehran seeking sanctions relief in exchange for verifiable limits. Traders appear to weigh the momentum from ongoing Oman-mediated talks against the historical pattern of stalled nuclear diplomacy, leaving room for either a breakthrough on verification terms or renewed impasse before December.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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