Vice President JD Vance led the US delegation in direct diplomatic talks with top Iranian officials, including parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, during the Islamabad Peace Talks in Pakistan on April 11-12, 2026. The 21-hour marathon negotiations, hosted by Pakistan amid US-Iran conflict over nuclear issues and regional ceasefires, ended without agreement as Iran rejected demands to halt uranium enrichment. A follow-up round planned for April 20 was postponed indefinitely after Tehran refused participation, stalling momentum. No further direct meetings have occurred, with indirect channels via Oman persisting; trader consensus reflects uncertainty over resumption amid ongoing military tensions and escalation risks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$103,053 거래량
May 15
<1%
May 31
13%
June 30
30%
$103,053 거래량
May 15
<1%
May 31
13%
June 30
30%
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Vice President JD Vance led the US delegation in direct diplomatic talks with top Iranian officials, including parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, during the Islamabad Peace Talks in Pakistan on April 11-12, 2026. The 21-hour marathon negotiations, hosted by Pakistan amid US-Iran conflict over nuclear issues and regional ceasefires, ended without agreement as Iran rejected demands to halt uranium enrichment. A follow-up round planned for April 20 was postponed indefinitely after Tehran refused participation, stalling momentum. No further direct meetings have occurred, with indirect channels via Oman persisting; trader consensus reflects uncertainty over resumption amid ongoing military tensions and escalation risks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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