Recent expulsions of Iranian diplomats by the United States, Argentina, Saudi Arabia, and Lebanon occurred between December 2025 and early April 2026 amid elevated regional tensions and mutual designations of personnel as persona non grata. Since those actions, no new formal expulsions or related diplomatic ruptures have been announced in the subsequent weeks, aligning with trader consensus that another such move is unlikely before the June 30 resolution date. Ongoing U.S.-Iran diplomatic contacts and absence of fresh triggers in the past month have reinforced expectations of stability in bilateral relations and personnel status through the summer.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.06.30
신규
신규
2026.06.30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent expulsions of Iranian diplomats by the United States, Argentina, Saudi Arabia, and Lebanon occurred between December 2025 and early April 2026 amid elevated regional tensions and mutual designations of personnel as persona non grata. Since those actions, no new formal expulsions or related diplomatic ruptures have been announced in the subsequent weeks, aligning with trader consensus that another such move is unlikely before the June 30 resolution date. Ongoing U.S.-Iran diplomatic contacts and absence of fresh triggers in the past month have reinforced expectations of stability in bilateral relations and personnel status through the summer.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 30, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
거래량
$7,591종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Apr 30, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent expulsions of Iranian diplomats by the United States, Argentina, Saudi Arabia, and Lebanon occurred between December 2025 and early April 2026 amid elevated regional tensions and mutual designations of personnel as persona non grata. Since those actions, no new formal expulsions or related diplomatic ruptures have been announced in the subsequent weeks, aligning with trader consensus that another such move is unlikely before the June 30 resolution date. Ongoing U.S.-Iran diplomatic contacts and absence of fresh triggers in the past month have reinforced expectations of stability in bilateral relations and personnel status through the summer.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$7,591종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Apr 30, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent expulsions of Iranian diplomats by the United States, Argentina, Saudi Arabia, and Lebanon occurred between December 2025 and early April 2026 amid elevated regional tensions and mutual designations of personnel as persona non grata. Since those actions, no new formal expulsions or related diplomatic ruptures have been announced in the subsequent weeks, aligning with trader consensus that another such move is unlikely before the June 30 resolution date. Ongoing U.S.-Iran diplomatic contacts and absence of fresh triggers in the past month have reinforced expectations of stability in bilateral relations and personnel status through the summer.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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