Ongoing disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz amid the Iran conflict have driven WTI crude oil prices to a four-year high above $126 per barrel in late April 2026, marking the largest supply shock since 1979, yet the benchmark has pulled back to around $101 as of mid-May due to increased US exports, resilient non-OPEC production, and OPEC+'s modest output hike of 206,000 barrels per day for May. Trader consensus reflects persistent geopolitical risks— including EIA projections of Hormuz closure through late May and recent OPEC/IEA cuts to 2026 global demand growth forecasts—balanced against ample inventories and China slowdown concerns, keeping odds low for breaching the $147.27 all-time high soon. Key catalysts ahead include the June OPEC+ ministerial meeting, weekly EIA storage reports, and potential military escalations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$189,912 거래량
2026.05.31
May 31
3%
June 30
10%
September 30
34%
December 31
44%
$189,912 거래량
May 31
$121,835 거래량
3%
June 30
$17,146 거래량
10%
September 30
$28,200 거래량
34%
December 31
$22,732 거래량
44%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Ongoing disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz amid the Iran conflict have driven WTI crude oil prices to a four-year high above $126 per barrel in late April 2026, marking the largest supply shock since 1979, yet the benchmark has pulled back to around $101 as of mid-May due to increased US exports, resilient non-OPEC production, and OPEC+'s modest output hike of 206,000 barrels per day for May. Trader consensus reflects persistent geopolitical risks— including EIA projections of Hormuz closure through late May and recent OPEC/IEA cuts to 2026 global demand growth forecasts—balanced against ample inventories and China slowdown concerns, keeping odds low for breaching the $147.27 all-time high soon. Key catalysts ahead include the June OPEC+ ministerial meeting, weekly EIA storage reports, and potential military escalations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
마켓 개설일: Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
거래량
$189,912종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Ongoing disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz amid the Iran conflict have driven WTI crude oil prices to a four-year high above $126 per barrel in late April 2026, marking the largest supply shock since 1979, yet the benchmark has pulled back to around $101 as of mid-May due to increased US exports, resilient non-OPEC production, and OPEC+'s modest output hike of 206,000 barrels per day for May. Trader consensus reflects persistent geopolitical risks— including EIA projections of Hormuz closure through late May and recent OPEC/IEA cuts to 2026 global demand growth forecasts—balanced against ample inventories and China slowdown concerns, keeping odds low for breaching the $147.27 all-time high soon. Key catalysts ahead include the June OPEC+ ministerial meeting, weekly EIA storage reports, and potential military escalations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
거래량
$189,912종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz amid the Iran conflict have driven WTI crude oil prices to a four-year high above $126 per barrel in late April 2026, marking the largest supply shock since 1979, yet the benchmark has pulled back to around $101 as of mid-May due to increased US exports, resilient non-OPEC production, and OPEC+'s modest output hike of 206,000 barrels per day for May. Trader consensus reflects persistent geopolitical risks— including EIA projections of Hormuz closure through late May and recent OPEC/IEA cuts to 2026 global demand growth forecasts—balanced against ample inventories and China slowdown concerns, keeping odds low for breaching the $147.27 all-time high soon. Key catalysts ahead include the June OPEC+ ministerial meeting, weekly EIA storage reports, and potential military escalations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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