WTI crude oil (CL) futures have climbed above $104/bbl as of May 15, propelled by a heightened geopolitical risk premium from stalled U.S.-Iran talks and Strait of Hormuz tensions, amplified by President Trump's recent comments on waning patience. The EIA's May 13 report revealed a 4.3 million barrel draw in U.S. crude inventories for the week ending May 8—steeper than the anticipated 2.1 million—bolstering trader consensus on tightening supply amid robust refinery demand. OPEC+ signaled a 188,000 bpd production hike for June but convenes June 7 for review, while global demand faces headwinds from China's slowdown. Traders eye next EIA data May 20 and potential escalation risks through month-end resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 말까지 원유 (CL) 가 __ 을 (를) 적중할까요?
6월 말까지 원유 (CL) 가 __ 을 (를) 적중할까요?
$16,758,601 거래량
↑ $200
3%
↑ $175
6%
↑ $150
13%
↑ $140
18%
↑ $130
28%
↑ $120
46%
↑ $115
57%
↑ $110
63%
↑ $105
89%
↓ $90
60%
↓ $85
41%
↓ $80
44%
↓ $70
16%
↓ $60
6%
↓ $55
4%
↓ $52
2%
↓ $50
2%
↓ $47
2%
↓ $45
1%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $35
1%
$16,758,601 거래량
↑ $200
3%
↑ $175
6%
↑ $150
13%
↑ $140
18%
↑ $130
28%
↑ $120
46%
↑ $115
57%
↑ $110
63%
↑ $105
89%
↓ $90
60%
↓ $85
41%
↓ $80
44%
↓ $70
16%
↓ $60
6%
↓ $55
4%
↓ $52
2%
↓ $50
2%
↓ $47
2%
↓ $45
1%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $35
1%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
마켓 개설일: Mar 3, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
WTI crude oil (CL) futures have climbed above $104/bbl as of May 15, propelled by a heightened geopolitical risk premium from stalled U.S.-Iran talks and Strait of Hormuz tensions, amplified by President Trump's recent comments on waning patience. The EIA's May 13 report revealed a 4.3 million barrel draw in U.S. crude inventories for the week ending May 8—steeper than the anticipated 2.1 million—bolstering trader consensus on tightening supply amid robust refinery demand. OPEC+ signaled a 188,000 bpd production hike for June but convenes June 7 for review, while global demand faces headwinds from China's slowdown. Traders eye next EIA data May 20 and potential escalation risks through month-end resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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