Polymarket traders price a tight contest for June gold (GC) settlement, with 31.0% implied probability for $4,200-$4,600 edging 30.5% for $4,600-$5,000, reflecting the contract's recent slide to near $4,615 amid stronger U.S. dollar and renewed Federal Reserve rate hike bets following accelerating inflation data like April's 3.8% print. This 16% pullback from January's $5,589 peak stems from robust U.S. economic indicators boosting Treasury yields and USD index, offsetting persistent central bank accumulation and geopolitical tensions such as stalled U.S.-Iran talks spiking oil prices. Key swing factors include upcoming May CPI release and June FOMC meeting, where sticky inflation could extend downside pressure while escalation risks offer upside convexity.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$4,600~$5,000 33%
$4,200~$4,600 30.0%
$5,000~$5,400 15.5%
$3,800-$4,200 9.4%
$946,519 거래량
$946,519 거래량
2026.06.30
$3,800 미만
1%
$3,800-$4,200
9%
$4,200~$4,600
30%
$4,600~$5,000
33%
$5,000~$5,400
16%
$5,400~$5,800
9%
$5,800~$6,200
2%
6,200달러 초과
2%
$4,600~$5,000 33%
$4,200~$4,600 30.0%
$5,000~$5,400 15.5%
$3,800-$4,200 9.4%
$946,519 거래량
$946,519 거래량
2026.06.30
$3,800 미만
$227,666 거래량
1%
$3,800-$4,200
$51,546 거래량
9%
$4,200~$4,600
$55,531 거래량
30%
$4,600~$5,000
$49,508 거래량
33%
$5,000~$5,400
$61,675 거래량
16%
$5,400~$5,800
$54,835 거래량
9%
$5,800~$6,200
$246,635 거래량
2%
6,200달러 초과
$199,422 거래량
2%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Polymarket traders price a tight contest for June gold (GC) settlement, with 31.0% implied probability for $4,200-$4,600 edging 30.5% for $4,600-$5,000, reflecting the contract's recent slide to near $4,615 amid stronger U.S. dollar and renewed Federal Reserve rate hike bets following accelerating inflation data like April's 3.8% print. This 16% pullback from January's $5,589 peak stems from robust U.S. economic indicators boosting Treasury yields and USD index, offsetting persistent central bank accumulation and geopolitical tensions such as stalled U.S.-Iran talks spiking oil prices. Key swing factors include upcoming May CPI release and June FOMC meeting, where sticky inflation could extend downside pressure while escalation risks offer upside convexity.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
마켓 개설일: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
거래량
$946,519종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Polymarket traders price a tight contest for June gold (GC) settlement, with 31.0% implied probability for $4,200-$4,600 edging 30.5% for $4,600-$5,000, reflecting the contract's recent slide to near $4,615 amid stronger U.S. dollar and renewed Federal Reserve rate hike bets following accelerating inflation data like April's 3.8% print. This 16% pullback from January's $5,589 peak stems from robust U.S. economic indicators boosting Treasury yields and USD index, offsetting persistent central bank accumulation and geopolitical tensions such as stalled U.S.-Iran talks spiking oil prices. Key swing factors include upcoming May CPI release and June FOMC meeting, where sticky inflation could extend downside pressure while escalation risks offer upside convexity.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
거래량
$946,519종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETPolymarket traders price a tight contest for June gold (GC) settlement, with 31.0% implied probability for $4,200-$4,600 edging 30.5% for $4,600-$5,000, reflecting the contract's recent slide to near $4,615 amid stronger U.S. dollar and renewed Federal Reserve rate hike bets following accelerating inflation data like April's 3.8% print. This 16% pullback from January's $5,589 peak stems from robust U.S. economic indicators boosting Treasury yields and USD index, offsetting persistent central bank accumulation and geopolitical tensions such as stalled U.S.-Iran talks spiking oil prices. Key swing factors include upcoming May CPI release and June FOMC meeting, where sticky inflation could extend downside pressure while escalation risks offer upside convexity.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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