The U.S. Embassy in Beirut continues to operate with a reduced footprint following the February 2026 departure order for non-emergency personnel and family members amid regional tensions. Recent security alerts, including the June 4 update, emphasize monitoring the complex environment, advising U.S. citizens to depart via commercial flights while available, and preparing shelter-in-place plans rather than signaling imminent full staff evacuation. No official announcements indicate plans for complete embassy closure by June 30. Trader consensus at 94.5% for "No" reflects the absence of new escalation triggers sufficient to prompt a full withdrawal, though a rapid deterioration in hostilities could still alter this positioning before the deadline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$60,457 거래량
$60,457 거래량
2026.06.30
$60,457 거래량
$60,457 거래량
2026.06.30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. The U.S. Embassy in Beirut continues to operate with a reduced footprint following the February 2026 departure order for non-emergency personnel and family members amid regional tensions. Recent security alerts, including the June 4 update, emphasize monitoring the complex environment, advising U.S. citizens to depart via commercial flights while available, and preparing shelter-in-place plans rather than signaling imminent full staff evacuation. No official announcements indicate plans for complete embassy closure by June 30. Trader consensus at 94.5% for "No" reflects the absence of new escalation triggers sufficient to prompt a full withdrawal, though a rapid deterioration in hostilities could still alter this positioning before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
마켓 개설일: May 26, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
거래량
$60,457종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
May 26, 2026, 1:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. The U.S. Embassy in Beirut continues to operate with a reduced footprint following the February 2026 departure order for non-emergency personnel and family members amid regional tensions. Recent security alerts, including the June 4 update, emphasize monitoring the complex environment, advising U.S. citizens to depart via commercial flights while available, and preparing shelter-in-place plans rather than signaling imminent full staff evacuation. No official announcements indicate plans for complete embassy closure by June 30. Trader consensus at 94.5% for "No" reflects the absence of new escalation triggers sufficient to prompt a full withdrawal, though a rapid deterioration in hostilities could still alter this positioning before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
거래량
$60,457종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
May 26, 2026, 1:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. Embassy in Beirut continues to operate with a reduced footprint following the February 2026 departure order for non-emergency personnel and family members amid regional tensions. Recent security alerts, including the June 4 update, emphasize monitoring the complex environment, advising U.S. citizens to depart via commercial flights while available, and preparing shelter-in-place plans rather than signaling imminent full staff evacuation. No official announcements indicate plans for complete embassy closure by June 30. Trader consensus at 94.5% for "No" reflects the absence of new escalation triggers sufficient to prompt a full withdrawal, though a rapid deterioration in hostilities could still alter this positioning before the deadline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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