Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has reaffirmed plans to lead Likud into the 2026 Knesset elections, scheduled by October 27 but potentially earlier amid coalition strains, driving traders' 83.5% "No" consensus on his dropping out by July 31. Recent Haredi parties' threats to dissolve the Knesset over stalled draft exemption legislation—escalating in the past day—heighten snap election risks without any public withdrawal signals from Netanyahu. A May 11 Channel 12 poll reveals erosion in Likud's base, while the April 26 Bennett-Lapid alliance briefly edged Likud in surveys, yet Netanyahu remains competitive per polling averages. His ongoing corruption trial resumed post-Iran ceasefire, but testimony continues uninterrupted.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$15,500 거래량
$15,500 거래량
2026.07.31
$15,500 거래량
$15,500 거래량
2026.07.31
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has reaffirmed plans to lead Likud into the 2026 Knesset elections, scheduled by October 27 but potentially earlier amid coalition strains, driving traders' 83.5% "No" consensus on his dropping out by July 31. Recent Haredi parties' threats to dissolve the Knesset over stalled draft exemption legislation—escalating in the past day—heighten snap election risks without any public withdrawal signals from Netanyahu. A May 11 Channel 12 poll reveals erosion in Likud's base, while the April 26 Bennett-Lapid alliance briefly edged Likud in surveys, yet Netanyahu remains competitive per polling averages. His ongoing corruption trial resumed post-Iran ceasefire, but testimony continues uninterrupted.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 29, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
거래량
$15,500종료일
2026.07.31마켓 개설일
Apr 29, 2026, 7:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has reaffirmed plans to lead Likud into the 2026 Knesset elections, scheduled by October 27 but potentially earlier amid coalition strains, driving traders' 83.5% "No" consensus on his dropping out by July 31. Recent Haredi parties' threats to dissolve the Knesset over stalled draft exemption legislation—escalating in the past day—heighten snap election risks without any public withdrawal signals from Netanyahu. A May 11 Channel 12 poll reveals erosion in Likud's base, while the April 26 Bennett-Lapid alliance briefly edged Likud in surveys, yet Netanyahu remains competitive per polling averages. His ongoing corruption trial resumed post-Iran ceasefire, but testimony continues uninterrupted.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$15,500종료일
2026.07.31마켓 개설일
Apr 29, 2026, 7:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has reaffirmed plans to lead Likud into the 2026 Knesset elections, scheduled by October 27 but potentially earlier amid coalition strains, driving traders' 83.5% "No" consensus on his dropping out by July 31. Recent Haredi parties' threats to dissolve the Knesset over stalled draft exemption legislation—escalating in the past day—heighten snap election risks without any public withdrawal signals from Netanyahu. A May 11 Channel 12 poll reveals erosion in Likud's base, while the April 26 Bennett-Lapid alliance briefly edged Likud in surveys, yet Netanyahu remains competitive per polling averages. His ongoing corruption trial resumed post-Iran ceasefire, but testimony continues uninterrupted.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문