Recent polling shows Likud projected at 25-26 Knesset seats amid the October 2026 election cycle, with the new Beyachad alliance of Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid polling at similar levels around 24-26. This matchup has kept the 20-24 and 25-29 seat ranges nearly even in trader pricing, as right-wing voters weigh defections from Likud while the broader opposition bloc remains short of a majority even when combining Zionist parties. Channel 12 surveys from mid-May highlight modest Likud gains in some samples but ongoing erosion among its 2022 base, alongside stable coalition totals near 50 seats. Further separation could emerge from additional candidate mergers, shifts in security conditions, or late-campaign turnout patterns among religious and secular blocs.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트25-29 55%
30-34 32%
20-24 21%
35+ 13%
신규
신규
2026.10.27
<20
13%
20-24
35%
25-29
41%
30-34
32%
35+
18%
25-29 55%
30-34 32%
20-24 21%
35+ 13%
신규
신규
2026.10.27
<20
$1,815 거래량
13%
20-24
$80 거래량
35%
25-29
$179 거래량
41%
30-34
$132 거래량
32%
35+
$229 거래량
18%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling shows Likud projected at 25-26 Knesset seats amid the October 2026 election cycle, with the new Beyachad alliance of Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid polling at similar levels around 24-26. This matchup has kept the 20-24 and 25-29 seat ranges nearly even in trader pricing, as right-wing voters weigh defections from Likud while the broader opposition bloc remains short of a majority even when combining Zionist parties. Channel 12 surveys from mid-May highlight modest Likud gains in some samples but ongoing erosion among its 2022 base, alongside stable coalition totals near 50 seats. Further separation could emerge from additional candidate mergers, shifts in security conditions, or late-campaign turnout patterns among religious and secular blocs.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
마켓 개설일: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
거래량
$2,435종료일
2026.10.27마켓 개설일
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling shows Likud projected at 25-26 Knesset seats amid the October 2026 election cycle, with the new Beyachad alliance of Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid polling at similar levels around 24-26. This matchup has kept the 20-24 and 25-29 seat ranges nearly even in trader pricing, as right-wing voters weigh defections from Likud while the broader opposition bloc remains short of a majority even when combining Zionist parties. Channel 12 surveys from mid-May highlight modest Likud gains in some samples but ongoing erosion among its 2022 base, alongside stable coalition totals near 50 seats. Further separation could emerge from additional candidate mergers, shifts in security conditions, or late-campaign turnout patterns among religious and secular blocs.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
거래량
$2,435종료일
2026.10.27마켓 개설일
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows Likud projected at 25-26 Knesset seats amid the October 2026 election cycle, with the new Beyachad alliance of Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid polling at similar levels around 24-26. This matchup has kept the 20-24 and 25-29 seat ranges nearly even in trader pricing, as right-wing voters weigh defections from Likud while the broader opposition bloc remains short of a majority even when combining Zionist parties. Channel 12 surveys from mid-May highlight modest Likud gains in some samples but ongoing erosion among its 2022 base, alongside stable coalition totals near 50 seats. Further separation could emerge from additional candidate mergers, shifts in security conditions, or late-campaign turnout patterns among religious and secular blocs.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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