The September 2026 State Duma election occurs under Russia's mixed electoral system, where United Russia's seat total will hinge on proportional representation outcomes alongside its entrenched advantages in single-member districts and newly incorporated territories. Recent regional legislative results through 2025 show the party posting double-digit gains over prior cycles in most areas, bolstered by administrative mobilization and high approval ratings for President Vladimir Putin. At the same time, national polling places party-list support in the low-to-mid 30s percent range amid wartime economic pressures and turnout variability, creating a narrow band of plausible results between constitutional-majority thresholds and stronger pluralities. Analysts note that modest shifts in opposition fragmentation or voter engagement could separate the leading scenarios without altering the party's overall dominance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트340–354 32%
355+ 20%
295–309 18.4%
325–339 17%
$24,534 거래량
$24,534 거래량
2026.09.20
280 미만
8%
280–294
8%
295–309
18%
310–324
22%
325–339
17%
340–354
32%
355+
20%
340–354 32%
355+ 20%
295–309 18.4%
325–339 17%
$24,534 거래량
$24,534 거래량
2026.09.20
280 미만
$6,278 거래량
8%
280–294
$2,828 거래량
8%
295–309
$1,601 거래량
18%
310–324
$1,426 거래량
22%
325–339
$1,963 거래량
17%
340–354
$1,499 거래량
32%
355+
$8,939 거래량
20%
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.The September 2026 State Duma election occurs under Russia's mixed electoral system, where United Russia's seat total will hinge on proportional representation outcomes alongside its entrenched advantages in single-member districts and newly incorporated territories. Recent regional legislative results through 2025 show the party posting double-digit gains over prior cycles in most areas, bolstered by administrative mobilization and high approval ratings for President Vladimir Putin. At the same time, national polling places party-list support in the low-to-mid 30s percent range amid wartime economic pressures and turnout variability, creating a narrow band of plausible results between constitutional-majority thresholds and stronger pluralities. Analysts note that modest shifts in opposition fragmentation or voter engagement could separate the leading scenarios without altering the party's overall dominance.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
마켓 개설일: Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
거래량
$24,534종료일
2026.09.20마켓 개설일
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.The September 2026 State Duma election occurs under Russia's mixed electoral system, where United Russia's seat total will hinge on proportional representation outcomes alongside its entrenched advantages in single-member districts and newly incorporated territories. Recent regional legislative results through 2025 show the party posting double-digit gains over prior cycles in most areas, bolstered by administrative mobilization and high approval ratings for President Vladimir Putin. At the same time, national polling places party-list support in the low-to-mid 30s percent range amid wartime economic pressures and turnout variability, creating a narrow band of plausible results between constitutional-majority thresholds and stronger pluralities. Analysts note that modest shifts in opposition fragmentation or voter engagement could separate the leading scenarios without altering the party's overall dominance.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
거래량
$24,534종료일
2026.09.20마켓 개설일
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The September 2026 State Duma election occurs under Russia's mixed electoral system, where United Russia's seat total will hinge on proportional representation outcomes alongside its entrenched advantages in single-member districts and newly incorporated territories. Recent regional legislative results through 2025 show the party posting double-digit gains over prior cycles in most areas, bolstered by administrative mobilization and high approval ratings for President Vladimir Putin. At the same time, national polling places party-list support in the low-to-mid 30s percent range amid wartime economic pressures and turnout variability, creating a narrow band of plausible results between constitutional-majority thresholds and stronger pluralities. Analysts note that modest shifts in opposition fragmentation or voter engagement could separate the leading scenarios without altering the party's overall dominance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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