Recent polling averages position the Parti Québécois as the frontrunner for the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, with consistent leads of 29-31% driven by strong support among Francophone voters. The Parti Libéral du Québec trails closely in second at 25-28%, bolstered by strength among non-Francophone voters and new leadership under Charles Milliard. The Coalition Avenir Québec has shown modest gains to the low 20s following Christine Fréchette’s April 2026 leadership win and swearing-in as premier, though it remains well behind after François Legault’s earlier resignation. These dynamics, including the three-way race and first-past-the-post seat math, underpin trader consensus reflected in current market prices.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트퀘벡당 63%
퀘벡 미래 연합(CAQ) 22%
PLQ 18%
PCQ <1%
$621,083 거래량
$621,083 거래량

퀘벡당
63%

퀘벡 미래 연합(CAQ)
22%

PLQ
18%

PCQ
<1%

QS
<1%

PVQ
<1%
퀘벡당 63%
퀘벡 미래 연합(CAQ) 22%
PLQ 18%
PCQ <1%
$621,083 거래량
$621,083 거래량

퀘벡당
63%

퀘벡 미래 연합(CAQ)
22%

PLQ
18%

PCQ
<1%

QS
<1%

PVQ
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
마켓 개설일: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling averages position the Parti Québécois as the frontrunner for the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, with consistent leads of 29-31% driven by strong support among Francophone voters. The Parti Libéral du Québec trails closely in second at 25-28%, bolstered by strength among non-Francophone voters and new leadership under Charles Milliard. The Coalition Avenir Québec has shown modest gains to the low 20s following Christine Fréchette’s April 2026 leadership win and swearing-in as premier, though it remains well behind after François Legault’s earlier resignation. These dynamics, including the three-way race and first-past-the-post seat math, underpin trader consensus reflected in current market prices.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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