2026 중간선거 예측 및 확률

$6.3K 거래량

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

76% 부결 확률

-24.0%

신규

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

81% 부결 확률

+4.5%

신규

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

91% 가결 확률

-1.9%

$4M 거래량

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

66% 부결 확률

+11.0%

$6.3K 거래량

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

76% 부결 확률

-24.0%

신규

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

81% 부결 확률

+4.5%

주요 경선

가장 중요한 마켓

$1M 거래량

AK Governor

58% 공화당

$544K 거래량

TX Senate

50% 민주당

$570K 거래량

ME Senate

61% 민주당

-1%

$344K 거래량

AK Senate

69% 민주당

+2%

$130K 거래량

IA Senate

55% 공화당

-4%

$1M 거래량

AK Governor

58% 공화당

$544K 거래량

TX Senate

50% 민주당

$570K 거래량

ME Senate

61% 민주당

-1%

California Governor Election Winner Xavier Becerra

모든 경선

519 마켓

경선

주

유력

등급

50개 마켓 중 25개 표시

2026 중간선거 확률

2026 중간선거 확률 — 실시간 예측 마켓 확률
마켓	유력 후보 및 지명자	실시간 마켓 확률
California Governor Election Winner	Xavier Becerra	90%
	Steve Hilton	8%
Alaska Governor Election Winner	Tom Begich	31%
	Bernadette Wilson	24%
	Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins	16%
	Treg Taylor	8%
	David Bronson	7%
	Bill Walker	5%
	Click Bishop	4%
	Gregg Brelsford	1%
	Destry J. Payne Sr.	1%
	Nancy Dahlstrom	1%
	Jessica Faircloth	1%
Maine Senate Election Winner	Democrat	62%
	Republican	39%
Texas Senate Election Winner	Ken Paxton (R)	56%
	James Talarico (D)	42%
Alaska Senate Election Winner	Mary Peltola	70%
	Dan Sullivan	31%
KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory	Gallrein 9%+	99%
	Gallrein 6-9%	1%
FL-06 Republican Primary Winner	Randy Fine	89%
	Dan Bilzerian	3%
	Charles Gambaro	1%
Michigan Governor Election Winner	Democrat	84%
	Republican	15%
	Independent	3%
OK-01 Republican Primary Winner	Mark Tedford	99%
	Jackson Lahmeyer	1%
Nebraska Senate Election Winner	Republican	66%
	Independent	28%
	Democrat	2%
Iowa Senate Election Winner	Republican	55%
	Democrat	44%
CO-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Melat Kiros	77%
	Diana DeGette	23%
Ohio Governor Election Winner	Republican	50%
	Democrat	50%
Ohio Senate Election Winner	Sherrod Brown (D)	56%
	Jon Husted (R)	44%
NY-12 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory	Lasher <5%	88%
	Lasher 5–10%	7%
	Lasher 10–15%	3%
	Lasher 15%+	1%
	Bores <5%	1%
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner	Democrat	77%
	Republican	21%
AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner	Daniel Keenan	44%
	Mark Lamb	37%
	Travis Grantham	2%
	Jay Feely	1%
CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner	Manny Rutinel	95%
	Shannon Bird	5%
Iowa Governor Election Winner	Democrat	65%
	Republican	33%
LA-05 Republican Primary Winner	Blake Miguez	7%
	Michael Echols	6%
	Misti Cordell	4%
	Michael Mebruer	3%
	Samuel Wyatt	2%
Georgia Governor Election Winner	Republican	51%
	Democrat	48%
Florida Senate Election Winner	Republican	82%
	Democrat	17%
FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner	Lois Frankel	93%
	Jared Moskowitz	2%
	Oliver Adams Larkin	2%
	Victoria Doyle	2%
Massachusetts Governor Election Winner	Democrat	95%
	Republican	5%
MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner	Matt Little	82%
	Matt Klein	11%
	Kaela Berg	5%
Kansas Senate Election Winner	Republican	83%
	Democrat	19%
MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner	Donavan McKinney	86%
	Shri Thanedar	12%
MN-05 Democratic Primary Winner	Ilhan Omar	95%
	Latonya Reeves	4%
FL-19 Republican Primary Winner	Catalina Lauf	42%
	Jim Schwartzel	28%
	Jim Oberweis	22%
	Bob Rommel	4%
	Madison Cawthorn	3%
	Spencer Roach	2%
Vermont Governor Election Winner	Republican	86%
	Democrat	14%
MN-02 Republican Primary Winner	Eric Pratt	96%
CO-03 Democratic Primary Winner	Alex Kelloff	53%
	Dwayne Romero	48%
MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner	Bridget Brink	80%
	William Lawrence	14%
	Matt Maasdam	5%
MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Cori Bush	53%
	Wesley Bell	49%
NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Stefany Shaheen	75%
	Maura Sullivan	23%
	Heath Howard	3%
	Carleigh Beriont	1%
Oklahoma Senate Election Winner	Republican	95%
	Democrat	6%
CO-03 Republican Primary Winner	Jeff Hurd	99%
South Carolina Governor Election Winner	Republican	93%
	Democrat	7%
TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner	Justin Pearson	84%
	DeVante Hill	4%
	Steve Cohen	3%
	London Lamar	3%
Louisiana Senate Election Winner	Republican	93%
	Democrat	8%
CO-05 Democratic Primary Winner	Jessica Killin	94%
	Joe Reagan	6%
Kentucky Senate Election Winner	Andy Barr (R)	94%
	Charles Booker (D)	6%
Alaska At-Large Primary Winners	Matt Schultz	97%
	Nick Begich III	95%
	Bill Hill	90%
	John Williams	46%
	Gavin Solomon	25%
	Matthew "Bronco" Williams	24%
Arkansas Senate Election Winner	Republican	94%
	Democrat	4%
FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner	Elijah Manley	49%
	Debbie Wasserman Schultz	49%
	Rudy Moise	1%
	Dale Holness	1%
	Maisha Williams	1%
New Hampshire Governor Election Winner	Republican	70%
	Democrat	23%
Nebraska Governor Election Winner	Republican	83%
	Democrat	17%
MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner	Stephen Lynch	69%
	Patrick Roath	42%
	Andrew Zylberfink	2%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	35%
Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?	Yes	25%

90%

Steve Hilton

Alaska Governor Election Winner Tom Begich

31%

Bernadette Wilson

24%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

Maine Senate Election Winner Democrat

62%

Texas Senate Election Winner Ken Paxton (R)

39%

56%

James Talarico (D)

42%

Alaska Senate Election Winner Mary Peltola

70%

Dan Sullivan

31%

KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory Gallrein 9%+

99%

Gallrein 6-9%

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner Randy Fine

89%

Dan Bilzerian

Charles Gambaro

Michigan Governor Election Winner Democrat

OK-01 Republican Primary Winner Mark Tedford

99%

Jackson Lahmeyer

Nebraska Senate Election Winner Republican

Iowa Senate Election Winner Republican

55%

CO-01 Democratic Primary Winner Melat Kiros

44%

77%

Diana DeGette

23%

Ohio Governor Election Winner Republican

50%

Ohio Senate Election Winner Sherrod Brown (D)

50%

56%

Jon Husted (R)

44%

NY-12 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory Lasher <5%

Wisconsin Governor Election Winner Democrat

77%

AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner Daniel Keenan

21%

CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner Manny Rutinel

Iowa Governor Election Winner Democrat

Shannon Bird

65%

LA-05 Republican Primary Winner Blake Miguez

33%

Georgia Governor Election Winner Republican

51%

Florida Senate Election Winner Republican

48%

82%

FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner Lois Frankel

17%

Massachusetts Governor Election Winner Democrat

MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner Matt Little

Kansas Senate Election Winner Republican

83%

MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner Donavan McKinney

19%

86%

Shri Thanedar

12%

MN-05 Democratic Primary Winner Ilhan Omar

FL-19 Republican Primary Winner Catalina Lauf

Latonya Reeves

Vermont Governor Election Winner Republican

86%

MN-02 Republican Primary Winner Eric Pratt

14%

96%

CO-03 Democratic Primary Winner Alex Kelloff

53%

Dwayne Romero

48%

MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner Bridget Brink

MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner Cori Bush

53%

Wesley Bell

49%

NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner Stefany Shaheen

Oklahoma Senate Election Winner Republican

CO-03 Republican Primary Winner Jeff Hurd

99%

South Carolina Governor Election Winner Republican

93%

TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner Justin Pearson

Louisiana Senate Election Winner Republican

93%

CO-05 Democratic Primary Winner Jessica Killin

94%

Joe Reagan

Kentucky Senate Election Winner Andy Barr (R)

94%

Charles Booker (D)

Alaska At-Large Primary Winners Matt Schultz

Matthew "Bronco" Williams

24%

Arkansas Senate Election Winner Republican

94%

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner Elijah Manley

49%

Debbie Wasserman Schultz

New Hampshire Governor Election Winner Republican

70%

Nebraska Governor Election Winner Republican

23%

83%