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Politics·Louisiana Primary

LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

icon for LA-05 Republican Primary Winner
Politics·Louisiana Primary

LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

Blake Miguez 7%

Michael Echols 5.8%

Misti Cordell 2.9%

Michael Mebruer 2.6%

Polymarket

$45,956 거래량

Blake Miguez 7%

Michael Echols 5.8%

Misti Cordell 2.9%

Michael Mebruer 2.6%

Polymarket

$45,956 거래량

Blake Miguez

$23,179 거래량

7%

Michael Echols

$11,009 거래량

6%

Misti Cordell

$1,483 거래량

3%

Michael Mebruer

$1,323 거래량

3%

Samuel Wyatt

$6,084 거래량

2%

Austin Magee

$1,593 거래량

1%

Rick Edmonds

$1,284 거래량

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Austin Magee leads trader consensus in the LA-05 Republican primary at 44% implied probability, ahead of state Sen. Blake Miguez (15%) and state Rep. Michael Echols (12.5%), reflecting his profile as a Franklinton industrial construction firm owner in a crowded field for the open seat vacated by Julia Letlow’s Senate bid. Recent April debates highlighted differences on immigration, rural healthcare, and infrastructure, while polling from that period showed Miguez and Echols competitive early on. Echols’s pledge to self-fund up to $1 million and Miguez’s Trump endorsement have shaped positioning, yet the primary’s postponement beyond the original May 16 date has sustained uncertainty among the seven candidates. Traders appear to weigh Magee’s business background and local ties most heavily amid the delayed timeline.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
거래량
$45,956
종료일
2026.05.16
마켓 개설일
Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Austin Magee leads trader consensus in the LA-05 Republican primary at 44% implied probability, ahead of state Sen. Blake Miguez (15%) and state Rep. Michael Echols (12.5%), reflecting his profile as a Franklinton industrial construction firm owner in a crowded field for the open seat vacated by Julia Letlow’s Senate bid. Recent April debates highlighted differences on immigration, rural healthcare, and infrastructure, while polling from that period showed Miguez and Echols competitive early on. Echols’s pledge to self-fund up to $1 million and Miguez’s Trump endorsement have shaped positioning, yet the primary’s postponement beyond the original May 16 date has sustained uncertainty among the seven candidates. Traders appear to weigh Magee’s business background and local ties most heavily amid the delayed timeline.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
거래량
$45,956
종료일
2026.05.16
마켓 개설일
Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

외부 링크에 주의하세요.

자주 묻는 질문

"LA-05 Republican Primary Winner"은 7개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 7%의 "Blake Miguez"이며, 이어서 6%의 "Michael Echols"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 7¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 7%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "LA-05 Republican Primary Winner"은 총 $46K의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Mar 26, 2026에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"LA-05 Republican Primary Winner"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 7개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

이것은 완전히 열린 마켓입니다. "LA-05 Republican Primary Winner"의 현재 선두는 7%에 불과한 "Blake Miguez"이며, "Michael Echols"이 6%로 바짝 뒤쫓고 있습니다. 강한 과반을 차지하는 결과가 없어 트레이더들은 이를 매우 불확실하게 보고 있으며, 이는 독특한 거래 기회를 제공할 수 있습니다. 이 확률은 실시간으로 업데이트되므로 이 페이지를 북마크하여 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 지켜보세요.

"LA-05 Republican Primary Winner"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.