Skip to main content

๋ด๋งˆํฌ ์˜ˆ์ธก ๋ฐ ํ™•๋ฅ 

ยท
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?
GeopoliticsยทNATO

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?

1%

$44.4K ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜๋Ÿ‰

$26.5K Liq.

Ends 1์ผ ํ›„

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?
WorldยทGreenland

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

2%

$78.4K ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜๋Ÿ‰

$19.6K Liq.

2

Ends 6๊ฐœ์›” ํ›„

Spain vs. Denmark
SportsยทBasketball

Spain vs. Denmark

50%

Denmark

$0 ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜๋Ÿ‰

$109 Liq.

Ends 11์ผ ํ›„

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
ElectionsยทDenmark

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

6%

$34M ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜๋Ÿ‰

$241K Liq.

Ends 6๊ฐœ์›” ํ›„

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
ElectionsยทDenmark

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

5%

$1M ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜๋Ÿ‰

$112K Liq.

40

Ends 6๊ฐœ์›” ํ›„

Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
GeopoliticsยทNATO

Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?

62%

$79.2K ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜๋Ÿ‰

$22.7K Liq.

Ends 6๊ฐœ์›” ํ›„

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
PoliticsยทTrump

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

10%

$10M ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜๋Ÿ‰

$96.3K Liq.

271

Ends 6๊ฐœ์›” ํ›„

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
PoliticsยทTrump

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

8%

$46.2K ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜๋Ÿ‰

$19.2K Liq.

8

Ends 6๊ฐœ์›” ํ›„

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?
GeopoliticsยทRussia

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

<1%

June 30

$182K ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜๋Ÿ‰

$36.7K Liq.

13

Ends 6๊ฐœ์›” ํ›„

X banned in any European country by December 31?
MentionsยทTwitter

X banned in any European country by December 31?

22%

$12.5K ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜๋Ÿ‰

$4.0K Liq.

7

Ends 6๊ฐœ์›” ํ›„

์ž์ฃผ ๋ฌป๋Š” ์งˆ๋ฌธ

Polymarket์€ ์„ธ๊ณ„ ์ตœ๋Œ€ ์˜ˆ์ธก ๋งˆ์ผ“์œผ๋กœ, ์†๋ณด, ์ •์น˜, ์Šคํฌ์ธ , ์„ ๊ฑฐ, ์•”ํ˜ธํ™”ํ, ๊ธˆ์œต, ๊ธฐ์ˆ , ๋ฌธํ™” ๋“ฑ ๋ด๋งˆํฌ์„ ํฌํ•จํ•œ ๋‹ค์–‘ํ•œ ์ฃผ์ œ๋ฅผ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜ํ•˜์—ฌ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์–ป๊ณ  ์ง€์‹์œผ๋กœ ์ˆ˜์ต์„ ๋‚ผ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

Polymarket์€ ํ˜„์žฌ ๋ด๋งˆํฌ์— ๋Œ€ํ•ด โ€œTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?โ€๊ณผ ๊ฐ™์€ ์˜ˆ์ธก์„ ์ถ”์ ํ•˜๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜ํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋Š” 10๊ฐœ์˜ ํ™œ์„ฑ ๋งˆ์ผ“์„ ์šด์˜ํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋„๋ฆฌ ๋…ผ์˜๋˜๋Š” ์ด๋ฒคํŠธ๋“  ํ‹ˆ์ƒˆ ๊ฒฐ๊ณผ๋“ , ํ”Œ๋žซํผ์€ $46.3M ์ด์ƒ์˜ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜๋Ÿ‰์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ์‹ค์‹œ๊ฐ„ ํ™•๋ฅ ์„ ์ง‘๊ณ„ํ•˜์—ฌ ํŒฌ๊ณผ ํˆฌ์ž์ž ์‹ฌ๋ฆฌ์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ํฌ๊ด„์ ์ธ ์‹œ๊ฐ์„ ์ œ๊ณตํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๊ฐ ๋งˆ์ผ“์€ โ€œWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?โ€์™€ ๊ฐ™์€ ์˜ˆ/์•„๋‹ˆ์˜ค ์งˆ๋ฌธ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. "์˜ˆ" ๋˜๋Š” "์•„๋‹ˆ์˜ค" ๊ฒฐ๊ณผ์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ฃผ์‹์„ ๋งค์ˆ˜ํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์€ ํฌ๋ผ์šฐ๋“œ์†Œ์‹ฑ๋œ ํ™•๋ฅ ์„ ๋ฐ˜์˜ํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์˜ˆ๋ฅผ ๋“ค์–ด "์˜ˆ"๊ฐ€ 30์„ผํŠธ์ด๋ฉด 30%์˜ ํ™•๋ฅ ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋งˆ์ผ“์€ ๊ณต์‹ ๊ฒฐ๊ณผ์— ๋”ฐ๋ผ ์ •์‚ฐ๋ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. โ€œEuropean country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...? โ€๊ณผ ๊ฐ™์€ ๋‹ค์ค‘ ๊ฒฐ๊ณผ ์ด๋ฒคํŠธ์˜ ๊ฒฝ์šฐ, ๋ฐœ์ƒํ•  ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์ƒ๊ฐํ•˜๋Š” ํŠน์ • ๊ฒฐ๊ณผ์— ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜ํ•˜๋ฉด ๋ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

์˜ค๋Š˜ ํ˜„์žฌ ๊ฐ€์žฅ ํ™œ๋ฐœํ•œ ๋งˆ์ผ“์€ โ€œWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?โ€์ด๋ฉฐ, ํฌ๋ผ์šฐ๋“œ๋Š” ํ˜„์žฌ No์— 94%์˜ ํ™•๋ฅ ์„ ๋ถ€์—ฌํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ด ํ™•๋ฅ ์€ ์ƒˆ๋กœ์šด ์ •๋ณด๊ฐ€ ๋‚˜ํƒ€๋‚˜๊ณ  ์‚ฌ์šฉ์ž๊ฐ€ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜ํ•จ์— ๋”ฐ๋ผ ์‹ค์‹œ๊ฐ„์œผ๋กœ ์—…๋ฐ์ดํŠธ๋˜์–ด ๊ธฐ์กด ๋ถ๋ฉ”์ด์ปค ํ™•๋ฅ ๊ณผ ๋น„๊ตํ•œ ๋งˆ์ผ“์˜ ๋™์  ์Šค๋ƒ…์ƒท์„ ์ œ๊ณตํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

์žก์Œ์„ ์ค„์—ฌ์ค๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์—ฌ๋ก ์กฐ์‚ฌ๋‚˜ ์ „๋ฌธ๊ฐ€ ์˜๊ฒฌ๊ณผ ๋‹ฌ๋ฆฌ Polymarket์€ ๊ธˆ์ „์  ํ™•์‹ ์— ๋’ท๋ฐ›์นจ๋œ ๋ด๋งˆํฌ ์˜ˆ์ธก์˜ ์‹ค์‹œ๊ฐ„ ํ™•๋ฅ ์„ ๋ณด์—ฌ์ฃผ๋ฉฐ, ์ „๋ฌธ๊ฐ€๋‚˜ ์„ค๋ฌธ์กฐ์‚ฌ๋ณด๋‹ค ๋น ๋ฅด๊ณ  ์ •ํ™•ํ•œ ๊ฒฝ์šฐ๊ฐ€ ๋งŽ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ˆ˜์ฒœ ๋ช…์˜ ํŠธ๋ ˆ์ด๋”๊ฐ€ ์‹ค์ œ๋กœ ์ผ์–ด๋‚  ๊ฒƒ์ด๋ผ๊ณ  ์ƒ๊ฐํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ํŽธํ–ฅ ์—†๋Š” ์‹œ๊ฐ์„ ์–ป์„ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ์—ฌ๋ก ์กฐ์‚ฌ๋ณด๋‹ค ์ •ํ™•ํ•œ ๊ฒฝ์šฐ๊ฐ€ ๋งŽ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋˜ํ•œ ์ฃผ์‹์„ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜ํ•˜์—ฌ ์˜ˆ์ธก์ด ์ •ํ™•ํ•˜๋ฉด ์ž ์žฌ์ ์œผ๋กœ ์ˆ˜์ต์„ ๋‚ผ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.