The overwhelming trader consensus that Donald Trump will remain in office past June 30 reflects the absence of any active impeachment proceedings, serious health disclosures, or constitutional triggers that could force a presidential resignation or removal in the next six weeks. With Trump serving his current term through January 2029 and no scheduled votes or legal deadlines looming in that narrow window, market pricing aligns with historical patterns showing rapid exits are exceedingly rare absent major scandals or incapacity. While unforeseen events such as a sudden medical crisis, explosive new legal developments, or unforeseen congressional action could theoretically shift the timeline, none of these scenarios currently carry credible momentum or institutional support capable of altering the outcome before the resolution date.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$5,282,481 거래량
$5,282,481 거래량
2026.06.30
예
$5,282,481 거래량
$5,282,481 거래량
2026.06.30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The overwhelming trader consensus that Donald Trump will remain in office past June 30 reflects the absence of any active impeachment proceedings, serious health disclosures, or constitutional triggers that could force a presidential resignation or removal in the next six weeks. With Trump serving his current term through January 2029 and no scheduled votes or legal deadlines looming in that narrow window, market pricing aligns with historical patterns showing rapid exits are exceedingly rare absent major scandals or incapacity. While unforeseen events such as a sudden medical crisis, explosive new legal developments, or unforeseen congressional action could theoretically shift the timeline, none of these scenarios currently carry credible momentum or institutional support capable of altering the outcome before the resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
거래량
$5,282,481종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The overwhelming trader consensus that Donald Trump will remain in office past June 30 reflects the absence of any active impeachment proceedings, serious health disclosures, or constitutional triggers that could force a presidential resignation or removal in the next six weeks. With Trump serving his current term through January 2029 and no scheduled votes or legal deadlines looming in that narrow window, market pricing aligns with historical patterns showing rapid exits are exceedingly rare absent major scandals or incapacity. While unforeseen events such as a sudden medical crisis, explosive new legal developments, or unforeseen congressional action could theoretically shift the timeline, none of these scenarios currently carry credible momentum or institutional support capable of altering the outcome before the resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$5,282,481종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The overwhelming trader consensus that Donald Trump will remain in office past June 30 reflects the absence of any active impeachment proceedings, serious health disclosures, or constitutional triggers that could force a presidential resignation or removal in the next six weeks. With Trump serving his current term through January 2029 and no scheduled votes or legal deadlines looming in that narrow window, market pricing aligns with historical patterns showing rapid exits are exceedingly rare absent major scandals or incapacity. While unforeseen events such as a sudden medical crisis, explosive new legal developments, or unforeseen congressional action could theoretically shift the timeline, none of these scenarios currently carry credible momentum or institutional support capable of altering the outcome before the resolution date.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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