With only two weeks left until the May 31 deadline, procedural barriers make any removal of President Trump highly improbable under current conditions. Impeachment requires House charges and a Senate trial with two-thirds support, a process that historically spans months even in accelerated cases. Invocation of the 25th Amendment would need cabinet consensus or medical certification followed by congressional approval, none of which has surfaced in recent developments. No legislative votes, health announcements, or diplomatic crises have altered the baseline stability of the administration. The 99.6 percent trader consensus on continuation aligns with these structural timelines and the absence of qualifying events that could trigger resolution before the cutoff.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$1,593,442 거래량
$1,593,442 거래량
2026.05.31
$1,593,442 거래량
$1,593,442 거래량
2026.05.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.With only two weeks left until the May 31 deadline, procedural barriers make any removal of President Trump highly improbable under current conditions. Impeachment requires House charges and a Senate trial with two-thirds support, a process that historically spans months even in accelerated cases. Invocation of the 25th Amendment would need cabinet consensus or medical certification followed by congressional approval, none of which has surfaced in recent developments. No legislative votes, health announcements, or diplomatic crises have altered the baseline stability of the administration. The 99.6 percent trader consensus on continuation aligns with these structural timelines and the absence of qualifying events that could trigger resolution before the cutoff.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
거래량
$1,593,442종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.With only two weeks left until the May 31 deadline, procedural barriers make any removal of President Trump highly improbable under current conditions. Impeachment requires House charges and a Senate trial with two-thirds support, a process that historically spans months even in accelerated cases. Invocation of the 25th Amendment would need cabinet consensus or medical certification followed by congressional approval, none of which has surfaced in recent developments. No legislative votes, health announcements, or diplomatic crises have altered the baseline stability of the administration. The 99.6 percent trader consensus on continuation aligns with these structural timelines and the absence of qualifying events that could trigger resolution before the cutoff.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$1,593,442종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...With only two weeks left until the May 31 deadline, procedural barriers make any removal of President Trump highly improbable under current conditions. Impeachment requires House charges and a Senate trial with two-thirds support, a process that historically spans months even in accelerated cases. Invocation of the 25th Amendment would need cabinet consensus or medical certification followed by congressional approval, none of which has surfaced in recent developments. No legislative votes, health announcements, or diplomatic crises have altered the baseline stability of the administration. The 99.6 percent trader consensus on continuation aligns with these structural timelines and the absence of qualifying events that could trigger resolution before the cutoff.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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