Trader consensus reflects Donald Trump's variable Truth Social output during active political weeks, with 200 or more posts holding the narrow lead at 23.5 percent amid closely grouped probabilities from 120 to 199. This distribution stems from his established pattern of elevated posting when responding to policy developments, campaign rallies, or breaking news, balanced against periods of lower volume tied to travel or institutional duties. Recent indicators of sustained engagement, such as ongoing legislative debates and diplomatic updates, sustain the tight spread, while factors like upcoming primary events or major announcements could widen gaps by prompting spikes in activity. Historical base rates during similar intervals show this range of outcomes remains sensitive to real-time catalysts within the resolution window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트200+ 20%
160-179 19%
140-159 19%
100-119 17%
신규
신규
2026.05.26
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
2%
80-99
4%
100-119
17%
120-139
23%
140-159
19%
160-179
14%
180-199
11%
200+
20%
200+ 20%
160-179 19%
140-159 19%
100-119 17%
신규
신규
2026.05.26
<20
$2,548 거래량
<1%
20-39
$368 거래량
<1%
40-59
$668 거래량
1%
60-79
$1,048 거래량
2%
80-99
$591 거래량
4%
100-119
$217 거래량
17%
120-139
$99 거래량
23%
140-159
$118 거래량
19%
160-179
$118 거래량
14%
180-199
$68 거래량
11%
200+
$94 거래량
20%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus reflects Donald Trump's variable Truth Social output during active political weeks, with 200 or more posts holding the narrow lead at 23.5 percent amid closely grouped probabilities from 120 to 199. This distribution stems from his established pattern of elevated posting when responding to policy developments, campaign rallies, or breaking news, balanced against periods of lower volume tied to travel or institutional duties. Recent indicators of sustained engagement, such as ongoing legislative debates and diplomatic updates, sustain the tight spread, while factors like upcoming primary events or major announcements could widen gaps by prompting spikes in activity. Historical base rates during similar intervals show this range of outcomes remains sensitive to real-time catalysts within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: May 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
거래량
$5,936종료일
2026.05.26마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus reflects Donald Trump's variable Truth Social output during active political weeks, with 200 or more posts holding the narrow lead at 23.5 percent amid closely grouped probabilities from 120 to 199. This distribution stems from his established pattern of elevated posting when responding to policy developments, campaign rallies, or breaking news, balanced against periods of lower volume tied to travel or institutional duties. Recent indicators of sustained engagement, such as ongoing legislative debates and diplomatic updates, sustain the tight spread, while factors like upcoming primary events or major announcements could widen gaps by prompting spikes in activity. Historical base rates during similar intervals show this range of outcomes remains sensitive to real-time catalysts within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
거래량
$5,936종료일
2026.05.26마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ETTrader consensus reflects Donald Trump's variable Truth Social output during active political weeks, with 200 or more posts holding the narrow lead at 23.5 percent amid closely grouped probabilities from 120 to 199. This distribution stems from his established pattern of elevated posting when responding to policy developments, campaign rallies, or breaking news, balanced against periods of lower volume tied to travel or institutional duties. Recent indicators of sustained engagement, such as ongoing legislative debates and diplomatic updates, sustain the tight spread, while factors like upcoming primary events or major announcements could widen gaps by prompting spikes in activity. Historical base rates during similar intervals show this range of outcomes remains sensitive to real-time catalysts within the resolution window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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