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icon for Ted Cruz # 게시물 2026년 5월 19일 - 5월 26일?

Ted Cruz # 게시물 2026년 5월 19일 - 5월 26일?

icon for Ted Cruz # 게시물 2026년 5월 19일 - 5월 26일?

Ted Cruz # 게시물 2026년 5월 19일 - 5월 26일?

80-99 31%

120-139 30%

100-119 28%

180-199 26%

Polymarket
신규

80-99 31%

120-139 30%

100-119 28%

180-199 26%

Polymarket
신규

<20

$366 거래량

<1%

20-39

$0 거래량

2%

40-59

$0 거래량

3%

60-79

$0 거래량

26%

80-99

$0 거래량

31%

100-119

$0 거래량

28%

120-139

$0 거래량

30%

140-159

$0 거래량

26%

160-179

$0 거래량

26%

180-199

$0 거래량

26%

200+

$20 거래량

8%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ted Cruz’s established posting pace on X, typically landing in the 80-140 range during routine Senate weeks, anchors trader consensus around the leading 80-99, 100-119, and 120-139 brackets. Recent activity from mid-May shows steady engagement with replies, quotes, and commentary on policy and cultural topics, without sharp spikes from major legislative action or breaking news. With no high-profile floor votes, committee hearings, or campaign events scheduled in the May 19-26 window, the market reflects expectations of baseline output from the Texas senator. A single viral thread or rapid-response series could push volume higher, while quieter days would favor the lower end of the clustered probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
거래량
$386
종료일
2026.05.26
마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ted Cruz’s established posting pace on X, typically landing in the 80-140 range during routine Senate weeks, anchors trader consensus around the leading 80-99, 100-119, and 120-139 brackets. Recent activity from mid-May shows steady engagement with replies, quotes, and commentary on policy and cultural topics, without sharp spikes from major legislative action or breaking news. With no high-profile floor votes, committee hearings, or campaign events scheduled in the May 19-26 window, the market reflects expectations of baseline output from the Texas senator. A single viral thread or rapid-response series could push volume higher, while quieter days would favor the lower end of the clustered probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
거래량
$386
종료일
2026.05.26
마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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자주 묻는 질문

"Ted Cruz # 게시물 2026년 5월 19일 - 5월 26일?"은 11개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 31%의 "80-99"이며, 이어서 30%의 "120-139"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 31¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 31%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

"Ted Cruz # 게시물 2026년 5월 19일 - 5월 26일?"은 Polymarket에서 새로 생성된 마켓입니다, May 16, 2026에 시작됨. 초기 마켓으로서 확률을 설정하고 마켓의 초기 가격 신호를 수립하는 첫 번째 트레이더 중 하나가 될 기회입니다. 이 페이지를 북마크하여 마켓이 성장함에 따라 거래량과 거래 활동을 추적할 수도 있습니다.

"Ted Cruz # 게시물 2026년 5월 19일 - 5월 26일?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 11개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"Ted Cruz # 게시물 2026년 5월 19일 - 5월 26일?"의 현재 유력 후보는 31%의 "80-99"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 31%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 30%의 "120-139"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"Ted Cruz # 게시물 2026년 5월 19일 - 5월 26일?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.