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선거·글로벌 선거

다음 프랑스 대통령 선거

icon for 다음 프랑스 대통령 선거
선거·글로벌 선거

다음 프랑스 대통령 선거

조르당 바르델라 24%

에두아르 필리프 20%

장뤼크 멜랑숑 11%

마린 르펜 6%

Polymarket

$71,551,776 거래량

조르당 바르델라 24%

에두아르 필리프 20%

장뤼크 멜랑숑 11%

마린 르펜 6%

Polymarket

$71,551,776 거래량

icon for 조르당 바르델라

조르당 바르델라

$893,852 거래량

24%

icon for 에두아르 필리프

에두아르 필리프

$702,915 거래량

20%

icon for 장뤼크 멜랑숑

장뤼크 멜랑숑

$556,072 거래량

11%

icon for 마린 르펜

마린 르펜

$518,658 거래량

6%

icon for 프랑수아 올랑드

프랑수아 올랑드

$1,016,320 거래량

5%

icon for 다비드 리스나르

다비드 리스나르

$1,153,661 거래량

5%

icon for 도미니크 드 빌팽

도미니크 드 빌팽

$1,201,617 거래량

5%

icon for 가브리엘 아탈

가브리엘 아탈

$1,236,324 거래량

3%

icon for 브루노 르테요

브루노 르테요

$1,364,973 거래량

3%

icon for 라파엘 글뤼크스만

라파엘 글뤼크스만

$835,178 거래량

2%

icon for 사라 크나포

사라 크나포

$1,300,636 거래량

2%

icon for 에릭 제무르

에릭 제무르

$1,478,096 거래량

1%

icon for 세바스티엥 르코르누

세바스티엥 르코르누

$889,380 거래량

1%

icon for 장 카스텍스

장 카스텍스

$739,817 거래량

1%

icon for 후안 브랑코

후안 브랑코

$1,362,199 거래량

1%

icon for 베르나르 카즈뇌브

베르나르 카즈뇌브

$1,266,104 거래량

1%

icon for 로랑 보키에

로랑 보키에

$2,034,766 거래량

1%

icon for 발레리 페크레스

발레리 페크레스

$2,578,333 거래량

1%

icon for 제랄드 다르마냉

제랄드 다르마냉

$731,467 거래량

1%

icon for 클레망스 게떼

클레망스 게떼

$2,684,778 거래량

1%

icon for 파비앵 루셀

파비앵 루셀

$2,168,855 거래량

1%

icon for 프랑수아 아슬리노

프랑수아 아슬리노

$3,521,685 거래량

1%

icon for 니콜라 뒤퐁-에냥

니콜라 뒤퐁-에냥

$2,786,444 거래량

1%

icon for 프랑수아 루팽

프랑수아 루팽

$1,494,820 거래량

1%

icon for 마린 통들리에

마린 통들리에

$2,048,053 거래량

1%

icon for 세골렌 루아얄

세골렌 루아얄

$3,112,922 거래량

1%

icon for 클레망틴 오탕

클레망틴 오탕

$3,026,038 거래량

1%

icon for 야엘 브라운-피베

야엘 브라운-피베

$3,751,192 거래량

1%

icon for 마틸드 파노

마틸드 파노

$3,552,899 거래량

1%

icon for 엘리자베트 본

엘리자베트 본

$3,284,655 거래량

1%

icon for 카롤 델가

카롤 델가

$2,606,233 거래량

1%

icon for 마누엘 봄파르

마누엘 봄파르

$2,887,929 거래량

1%

icon for 자비에 베르트랑

자비에 베르트랑

$3,213,751 거래량

1%

icon for 올리비에 포르

올리비에 포르

$2,471,768 거래량

1%

icon for 미셸 바르니에

미셸 바르니에

$3,336,427 거래량

1%

icon for 프랑수아 바위루

프랑수아 바위루

$3,743,429 거래량

1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Jordan Bardella's slight edge in trader consensus reflects National Rally's persistent first-round polling lead around 35% following March 2026 municipal election gains, where the far right showed strong local momentum amid ongoing hung parliament instability from 2024 legislative results. Édouard Philippe trails closely after launching his presidential bid and reelection as Le Havre mayor, with surveys positioning him as the top second-round contender against RN due to centrist appeal and Horizons party backing. Jean-Luc Mélenchon's May 3 candidacy announcement bolsters left-wing options at 10-13%, keeping the fragmented field competitive. Government survival of recent no-confidence votes on budget and trade deals underscores policy gridlock fueling desire for change, while party primaries and potential scandals like the EU probe into Bardella could widen gaps before the April 2027 vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
거래량
$71,551,776
종료일
2027.04.30
마켓 개설일
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Jordan Bardella's slight edge in trader consensus reflects National Rally's persistent first-round polling lead around 35% following March 2026 municipal election gains, where the far right showed strong local momentum amid ongoing hung parliament instability from 2024 legislative results. Édouard Philippe trails closely after launching his presidential bid and reelection as Le Havre mayor, with surveys positioning him as the top second-round contender against RN due to centrist appeal and Horizons party backing. Jean-Luc Mélenchon's May 3 candidacy announcement bolsters left-wing options at 10-13%, keeping the fragmented field competitive. Government survival of recent no-confidence votes on budget and trade deals underscores policy gridlock fueling desire for change, while party primaries and potential scandals like the EU probe into Bardella could widen gaps before the April 2027 vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
거래량
$71,551,776
종료일
2027.04.30
마켓 개설일
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

외부 링크에 주의하세요.

자주 묻는 질문

"다음 프랑스 대통령 선거"은 36개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 24%의 "조르당 바르델라"이며, 이어서 20%의 "에두아르 필리프"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 24¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 24%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "다음 프랑스 대통령 선거"은 총 $71.6 million의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Nov 13, 2025에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"다음 프랑스 대통령 선거"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 36개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"다음 프랑스 대통령 선거"의 현재 유력 후보는 24%의 "조르당 바르델라"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 24%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 20%의 "에두아르 필리프"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"다음 프랑스 대통령 선거"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.