United Russia maintains a commanding position in the 2026 State Duma election race, reflecting its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive administrative resources and dominance in single-member districts that supplement proportional representation results. Recent polling from state-linked firms shows the party holding steady support in the mid-30s to low-40s percent range, well ahead of systemic opposition groups, while leadership changes and candidate list preparations headed by Dmitry Medvedev underscore ongoing mobilization efforts. New People has emerged as the clearest alternative in some surveys, drawing attention for consistent second-place polling, though structural barriers limit its path to the largest seat total. The September 18–20 voting window and limited recent shifts in party dynamics reinforce trader consensus around the established order in Russia's managed electoral system.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트통합 러시아(ER) 62%
뉴피플(NL) 29.0%
러시아 자유민주당(LDPR) 5.5%
러시아 연방 공산당(KPRF) 3.8%
$8,176,588 거래량
$8,176,588 거래량
2026.09.30
통합 러시아(ER)
62%
뉴피플(NL)
29%
러시아 자유민주당(LDPR)
5%
러시아 연방 공산당(KPRF)
4%
공정 러시아 – 진실을 위하여(SRZP)
1%
Rodina
<1%
시민 플랫폼(GP)
<1%
통합 러시아(ER) 62%
뉴피플(NL) 29.0%
러시아 자유민주당(LDPR) 5.5%
러시아 연방 공산당(KPRF) 3.8%
$8,176,588 거래량
$8,176,588 거래량
2026.09.30
통합 러시아(ER)
$2,129,454 거래량
62%
뉴피플(NL)
$1,041,201 거래량
29%
러시아 자유민주당(LDPR)
$2,272,834 거래량
5%
러시아 연방 공산당(KPRF)
$654,488 거래량
4%
공정 러시아 – 진실을 위하여(SRZP)
$571,026 거래량
1%
Rodina
$928,378 거래량
<1%
시민 플랫폼(GP)
$579,580 거래량
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains a commanding position in the 2026 State Duma election race, reflecting its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive administrative resources and dominance in single-member districts that supplement proportional representation results. Recent polling from state-linked firms shows the party holding steady support in the mid-30s to low-40s percent range, well ahead of systemic opposition groups, while leadership changes and candidate list preparations headed by Dmitry Medvedev underscore ongoing mobilization efforts. New People has emerged as the clearest alternative in some surveys, drawing attention for consistent second-place polling, though structural barriers limit its path to the largest seat total. The September 18–20 voting window and limited recent shifts in party dynamics reinforce trader consensus around the established order in Russia's managed electoral system.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
마켓 개설일: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
거래량
$8,176,588종료일
2026.09.20마켓 개설일
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains a commanding position in the 2026 State Duma election race, reflecting its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive administrative resources and dominance in single-member districts that supplement proportional representation results. Recent polling from state-linked firms shows the party holding steady support in the mid-30s to low-40s percent range, well ahead of systemic opposition groups, while leadership changes and candidate list preparations headed by Dmitry Medvedev underscore ongoing mobilization efforts. New People has emerged as the clearest alternative in some surveys, drawing attention for consistent second-place polling, though structural barriers limit its path to the largest seat total. The September 18–20 voting window and limited recent shifts in party dynamics reinforce trader consensus around the established order in Russia's managed electoral system.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
거래량
$8,176,588종료일
2026.09.20마켓 개설일
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding position in the 2026 State Duma election race, reflecting its status as the incumbent ruling party with extensive administrative resources and dominance in single-member districts that supplement proportional representation results. Recent polling from state-linked firms shows the party holding steady support in the mid-30s to low-40s percent range, well ahead of systemic opposition groups, while leadership changes and candidate list preparations headed by Dmitry Medvedev underscore ongoing mobilization efforts. New People has emerged as the clearest alternative in some surveys, drawing attention for consistent second-place polling, though structural barriers limit its path to the largest seat total. The September 18–20 voting window and limited recent shifts in party dynamics reinforce trader consensus around the established order in Russia's managed electoral system.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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