Trader consensus heavily favors the PL to secure the most seats in Brazil's October 2026 Senate election, reflecting its current status as the largest party with 15 senators after January defections that overtook PSD's 14. Recent Genial/Quaest polls from late April across major states like São Paulo, Minas Gerais, Rio de Janeiro, and Paraná show PL candidates such as Cláudio Castro (leading in RJ at 12%) and Filipe Barros (competitive in PR) gaining traction amid opposition strength, boosted by the Senate's April 29 rejection of President Lula's Supreme Court nominee—the first in 132 years. PP and PSD trail as centro parties with viable contenders like Guilherme Derrite (PP, SP) and Carlos Viana (PSD, MG), but PL's momentum in battleground states and alignment with rising presidential hopeful Flávio Bolsonaro underpin its dominance, with 27 seats up for grabs in a fragmented race.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트PL 76%
PODEMOS 16.4%
PP 7.8%
UNIÃO 3.6%
$13,939 거래량
$13,939 거래량
2026.10.04
PL
69%
PODEMOS
16%
PP
8%
UNIÃO
4%
PSB
4%
PSD
3%
PT
3%
NOVO
2%
PDT
2%
PSDB
2%
MDB
2%
REPUBLICANOS
1%
PL 76%
PODEMOS 16.4%
PP 7.8%
UNIÃO 3.6%
$13,939 거래량
$13,939 거래량
2026.10.04
PL
$2,901 거래량
69%
PODEMOS
$809 거래량
16%
PP
$588 거래량
8%
UNIÃO
$606 거래량
4%
PSB
$606 거래량
4%
PSD
$842 거래량
3%
PT
$839 거래량
3%
NOVO
$581 거래량
2%
PDT
$4,076 거래량
2%
PSDB
$779 거래량
2%
MDB
$696 거래량
2%
REPUBLICANOS
$618 거래량
1%
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election.
All seats, not only the ones contested in the next Brazilian Senate election, will be considered.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party in the Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election, not by any federation or coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Senate (https://www25.senado.leg.br/web/senadores/em-exercicio/-/e/por-partido).Trader consensus heavily favors the PL to secure the most seats in Brazil's October 2026 Senate election, reflecting its current status as the largest party with 15 senators after January defections that overtook PSD's 14. Recent Genial/Quaest polls from late April across major states like São Paulo, Minas Gerais, Rio de Janeiro, and Paraná show PL candidates such as Cláudio Castro (leading in RJ at 12%) and Filipe Barros (competitive in PR) gaining traction amid opposition strength, boosted by the Senate's April 29 rejection of President Lula's Supreme Court nominee—the first in 132 years. PP and PSD trail as centro parties with viable contenders like Guilherme Derrite (PP, SP) and Carlos Viana (PSD, MG), but PL's momentum in battleground states and alignment with rising presidential hopeful Flávio Bolsonaro underpin its dominance, with 27 seats up for grabs in a fragmented race.
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election.
All seats, not only the ones contested in the next Brazilian Senate election, will be considered.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party in the Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election, not by any federation or coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Senate (https://www25.senado.leg.br/web/senadores/em-exercicio/-/e/por-partido).
This market will resolve according to the political party that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election.
All seats, not only the ones contested in the next Brazilian Senate election, will be considered.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party in the Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election, not by any federation or coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Senate (https://www25.senado.leg.br/web/senadores/em-exercicio/-/e/por-partido).
마켓 개설일: Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
거래량
$13,939종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election.
All seats, not only the ones contested in the next Brazilian Senate election, will be considered.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party in the Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election, not by any federation or coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Senate (https://www25.senado.leg.br/web/senadores/em-exercicio/-/e/por-partido).Trader consensus heavily favors the PL to secure the most seats in Brazil's October 2026 Senate election, reflecting its current status as the largest party with 15 senators after January defections that overtook PSD's 14. Recent Genial/Quaest polls from late April across major states like São Paulo, Minas Gerais, Rio de Janeiro, and Paraná show PL candidates such as Cláudio Castro (leading in RJ at 12%) and Filipe Barros (competitive in PR) gaining traction amid opposition strength, boosted by the Senate's April 29 rejection of President Lula's Supreme Court nominee—the first in 132 years. PP and PSD trail as centro parties with viable contenders like Guilherme Derrite (PP, SP) and Carlos Viana (PSD, MG), but PL's momentum in battleground states and alignment with rising presidential hopeful Flávio Bolsonaro underpin its dominance, with 27 seats up for grabs in a fragmented race.
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election.
All seats, not only the ones contested in the next Brazilian Senate election, will be considered.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party in the Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election, not by any federation or coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Senate (https://www25.senado.leg.br/web/senadores/em-exercicio/-/e/por-partido).
This market will resolve according to the political party that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election.
All seats, not only the ones contested in the next Brazilian Senate election, will be considered.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party in the Brazilian Senate as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election, not by any federation or coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Senate (https://www25.senado.leg.br/web/senadores/em-exercicio/-/e/por-partido).
거래량
$13,939종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the PL to secure the most seats in Brazil's October 2026 Senate election, reflecting its current status as the largest party with 15 senators after January defections that overtook PSD's 14. Recent Genial/Quaest polls from late April across major states like São Paulo, Minas Gerais, Rio de Janeiro, and Paraná show PL candidates such as Cláudio Castro (leading in RJ at 12%) and Filipe Barros (competitive in PR) gaining traction amid opposition strength, boosted by the Senate's April 29 rejection of President Lula's Supreme Court nominee—the first in 132 years. PP and PSD trail as centro parties with viable contenders like Guilherme Derrite (PP, SP) and Carlos Viana (PSD, MG), but PL's momentum in battleground states and alignment with rising presidential hopeful Flávio Bolsonaro underpin its dominance, with 27 seats up for grabs in a fragmented race.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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