Recent polling trends position the Alternative for Germany (AfD) as the clear frontrunner for the largest share of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's September 20, 2026, Landtag election under the state's proportional representation rules. Surveys from Infratest dimap and Forsa through mid-May show AfD support holding at 35-37 percent, well ahead of the incumbent Social Democratic Party (SPD) at 23-27 percent, with the Christian Democratic Union, Greens, and smaller parties such as the Left and BSW all below 13 percent. This sustained eastern German advantage and the opposition's fragmentation have kept AfD probabilities elevated in the market, as traders assess limited near-term catalysts capable of narrowing the gap before election day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트AfD 87%
SPD 14%
그뤼네 <1%
CDU <1%
$217,972 거래량
$217,972 거래량
2026.09.20
AfD
87%
SPD
14%
그뤼네
<1%
CDU
<1%
FDP
<1%
BSW
<1%
링케
<1%
FW
<1%
AfD 87%
SPD 14%
그뤼네 <1%
CDU <1%
$217,972 거래량
$217,972 거래량
2026.09.20
AfD
$7,937 거래량
87%
SPD
$37,071 거래량
14%
그뤼네
$53,394 거래량
<1%
CDU
$28,594 거래량
<1%
FDP
$48,858 거래량
<1%
BSW
$12,545 거래량
<1%
링케
$9,060 거래량
<1%
FW
$20,514 거래량
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling trends position the Alternative for Germany (AfD) as the clear frontrunner for the largest share of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's September 20, 2026, Landtag election under the state's proportional representation rules. Surveys from Infratest dimap and Forsa through mid-May show AfD support holding at 35-37 percent, well ahead of the incumbent Social Democratic Party (SPD) at 23-27 percent, with the Christian Democratic Union, Greens, and smaller parties such as the Left and BSW all below 13 percent. This sustained eastern German advantage and the opposition's fragmentation have kept AfD probabilities elevated in the market, as traders assess limited near-term catalysts capable of narrowing the gap before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
마켓 개설일: Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
거래량
$217,972종료일
2026.09.20마켓 개설일
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling trends position the Alternative for Germany (AfD) as the clear frontrunner for the largest share of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's September 20, 2026, Landtag election under the state's proportional representation rules. Surveys from Infratest dimap and Forsa through mid-May show AfD support holding at 35-37 percent, well ahead of the incumbent Social Democratic Party (SPD) at 23-27 percent, with the Christian Democratic Union, Greens, and smaller parties such as the Left and BSW all below 13 percent. This sustained eastern German advantage and the opposition's fragmentation have kept AfD probabilities elevated in the market, as traders assess limited near-term catalysts capable of narrowing the gap before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
거래량
$217,972종료일
2026.09.20마켓 개설일
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling trends position the Alternative for Germany (AfD) as the clear frontrunner for the largest share of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's September 20, 2026, Landtag election under the state's proportional representation rules. Surveys from Infratest dimap and Forsa through mid-May show AfD support holding at 35-37 percent, well ahead of the incumbent Social Democratic Party (SPD) at 23-27 percent, with the Christian Democratic Union, Greens, and smaller parties such as the Left and BSW all below 13 percent. This sustained eastern German advantage and the opposition's fragmentation have kept AfD probabilities elevated in the market, as traders assess limited near-term catalysts capable of narrowing the gap before election day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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