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정치·아르헨티나

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

icon for Argentina Presidential Election Winner
정치·아르헨티나

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Javier Milei 48%

Axel Kicillof 33%

Dante Gebel 5.1%

Sergio Massa 3.3%

Polymarket

$67,253 거래량

Javier Milei 48%

Axel Kicillof 33%

Dante Gebel 5.1%

Sergio Massa 3.3%

Polymarket

$67,253 거래량

icon for Javier Milei

Javier Milei

$27,294 거래량

48%

icon for Axel Kicillof

Axel Kicillof

$4,486 거래량

33%

icon for Dante Gebel

Dante Gebel

$5,026 거래량

5%

icon for Sergio Massa

Sergio Massa

$3,470 거래량

3%

icon for Mauricio Macri

Mauricio Macri

$5,145 거래량

3%

icon for Myriam Bregman

Myriam Bregman

$4,964 거래량

3%

icon for Juan Grabois

Juan Grabois

$3,929 거래량

3%

icon for Victoria Villarruel

Victoria Villarruel

$3,305 거래량

1%

icon for Juan Schiaretti

Juan Schiaretti

$3,813 거래량

1%

icon for Facundo Manes

Facundo Manes

$3,178 거래량

<1%

icon for Esteban Bullrich

Esteban Bullrich

$2,643 거래량

<1%

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).Javier Milei leads as the incumbent president seeking reelection in October 2027, with traders assigning him the highest probability due to his administration's ongoing austerity program, fiscal balance, and legislative gains from the 2025 midterms that expanded his coalition's congressional support. Recent polls show his approval slipping to the mid-30s amid persistent inflation above 3 percent monthly, wage stagnation in domestic sectors, and protests against spending cuts in May 2026, narrowing his edge over main challenger Axel Kicillof, the Buenos Aires governor positioned by Peronist forces. Secondary candidates including Dante Gebel and Sergio Massa trail further, reflecting limited consolidation outside the Milei-Kicillof axis, while economic indicators such as export growth and rating upgrades continue to anchor trader assessments of Milei's path to victory.

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
거래량
$67,253
종료일
2027.10.24
마켓 개설일
May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).Javier Milei leads as the incumbent president seeking reelection in October 2027, with traders assigning him the highest probability due to his administration's ongoing austerity program, fiscal balance, and legislative gains from the 2025 midterms that expanded his coalition's congressional support. Recent polls show his approval slipping to the mid-30s amid persistent inflation above 3 percent monthly, wage stagnation in domestic sectors, and protests against spending cuts in May 2026, narrowing his edge over main challenger Axel Kicillof, the Buenos Aires governor positioned by Peronist forces. Secondary candidates including Dante Gebel and Sergio Massa trail further, reflecting limited consolidation outside the Milei-Kicillof axis, while economic indicators such as export growth and rating upgrades continue to anchor trader assessments of Milei's path to victory.

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
거래량
$67,253
종료일
2027.10.24
마켓 개설일
May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).

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자주 묻는 질문

"Argentina Presidential Election Winner"은 11개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 48%의 "Javier Milei"이며, 이어서 33%의 "Axel Kicillof"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 48¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 48%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "Argentina Presidential Election Winner"은 총 $67.3K의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 May 1, 2026에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"Argentina Presidential Election Winner"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 11개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"Argentina Presidential Election Winner"의 현재 유력 후보는 48%의 "Javier Milei"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 48%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 33%의 "Axel Kicillof"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"Argentina Presidential Election Winner"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.