Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), who assumed the governorship in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation, holds the strongest position in the October 4, 2026 race according to recent polling. A June Real Time Big Data survey showed him leading first-round scenarios at 39% against Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) at 33%, with decisive advantages in all tested runoffs, supported by 77% approval. Earlier April Quaest polling had indicated technical ties among multiple pre-candidates including Pazolini, Magno Malta (PL), and Paulo Hartung (PSD). The market’s modest 55.5% price for Ferraço alongside 28.5% for Pazolini and lower shares for others reflects this incumbency edge tempered by the multi-candidate field, limited name recognition for some contenders, and several months remaining before formal candidacies and party alignments solidify.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트히카르두 페하수 56%
로렌조 파졸리니 29%
아르날디뉴 보르고 10.1%
세르지오 비디갈 8.2%
신규
신규
2026.10.05
히카르두 페하수
56%
로렌조 파졸리니
29%
아르날디뉴 보르고
10%
세르지오 비디갈
8%
Euclério Sampaio
6%
히카르두 페하수 56%
로렌조 파졸리니 29%
아르날디뉴 보르고 10.1%
세르지오 비디갈 8.2%
신규
신규
2026.10.05
히카르두 페하수
$60 거래량
56%
로렌조 파졸리니
$120 거래량
29%
아르날디뉴 보르고
$141 거래량
10%
세르지오 비디갈
$37 거래량
8%
Euclério Sampaio
$150 거래량
6%
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), who assumed the governorship in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation, holds the strongest position in the October 4, 2026 race according to recent polling. A June Real Time Big Data survey showed him leading first-round scenarios at 39% against Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) at 33%, with decisive advantages in all tested runoffs, supported by 77% approval. Earlier April Quaest polling had indicated technical ties among multiple pre-candidates including Pazolini, Magno Malta (PL), and Paulo Hartung (PSD). The market’s modest 55.5% price for Ferraço alongside 28.5% for Pazolini and lower shares for others reflects this incumbency edge tempered by the multi-candidate field, limited name recognition for some contenders, and several months remaining before formal candidacies and party alignments solidify.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
마켓 개설일: Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
거래량
$508종료일
2026.10.05마켓 개설일
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), who assumed the governorship in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation, holds the strongest position in the October 4, 2026 race according to recent polling. A June Real Time Big Data survey showed him leading first-round scenarios at 39% against Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) at 33%, with decisive advantages in all tested runoffs, supported by 77% approval. Earlier April Quaest polling had indicated technical ties among multiple pre-candidates including Pazolini, Magno Malta (PL), and Paulo Hartung (PSD). The market’s modest 55.5% price for Ferraço alongside 28.5% for Pazolini and lower shares for others reflects this incumbency edge tempered by the multi-candidate field, limited name recognition for some contenders, and several months remaining before formal candidacies and party alignments solidify.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
거래량
$508종료일
2026.10.05마켓 개설일
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), who assumed the governorship in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation, holds the strongest position in the October 4, 2026 race according to recent polling. A June Real Time Big Data survey showed him leading first-round scenarios at 39% against Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) at 33%, with decisive advantages in all tested runoffs, supported by 77% approval. Earlier April Quaest polling had indicated technical ties among multiple pre-candidates including Pazolini, Magno Malta (PL), and Paulo Hartung (PSD). The market’s modest 55.5% price for Ferraço alongside 28.5% for Pazolini and lower shares for others reflects this incumbency edge tempered by the multi-candidate field, limited name recognition for some contenders, and several months remaining before formal candidacies and party alignments solidify.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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