Recent polls for the June 18 Makerfield by-election show Restore Britain, contesting its first parliamentary seat with candidate Rebecca Shepherd, at 7-8% support behind Labour’s Andy Burnham and Reform UK. A Survation survey placed the party at 7%, while another indicated 8%, reflecting limited breakthrough despite canvassing claims and rivalry with Nigel Farage’s party over right-wing voters. Trader consensus on the “No” side at 63% tracks these figures, the short campaign timeline, and Restore Britain’s position as a smaller hard-right challenger without established constituency infrastructure. No late surge has altered the standing in official surveys ahead of polling day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
신규
신규
2026.06.18
예
신규
신규
2026.06.18
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Recent polls for the June 18 Makerfield by-election show Restore Britain, contesting its first parliamentary seat with candidate Rebecca Shepherd, at 7-8% support behind Labour’s Andy Burnham and Reform UK. A Survation survey placed the party at 7%, while another indicated 8%, reflecting limited breakthrough despite canvassing claims and rivalry with Nigel Farage’s party over right-wing voters. Trader consensus on the “No” side at 63% tracks these figures, the short campaign timeline, and Restore Britain’s position as a smaller hard-right challenger without established constituency infrastructure. No late surge has altered the standing in official surveys ahead of polling day.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
마켓 개설일: Jun 8, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
거래량
$6,475종료일
2026.06.18마켓 개설일
Jun 8, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Recent polls for the June 18 Makerfield by-election show Restore Britain, contesting its first parliamentary seat with candidate Rebecca Shepherd, at 7-8% support behind Labour’s Andy Burnham and Reform UK. A Survation survey placed the party at 7%, while another indicated 8%, reflecting limited breakthrough despite canvassing claims and rivalry with Nigel Farage’s party over right-wing voters. Trader consensus on the “No” side at 63% tracks these figures, the short campaign timeline, and Restore Britain’s position as a smaller hard-right challenger without established constituency infrastructure. No late surge has altered the standing in official surveys ahead of polling day.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
거래량
$6,475종료일
2026.06.18마켓 개설일
Jun 8, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polls for the June 18 Makerfield by-election show Restore Britain, contesting its first parliamentary seat with candidate Rebecca Shepherd, at 7-8% support behind Labour’s Andy Burnham and Reform UK. A Survation survey placed the party at 7%, while another indicated 8%, reflecting limited breakthrough despite canvassing claims and rivalry with Nigel Farage’s party over right-wing voters. Trader consensus on the “No” side at 63% tracks these figures, the short campaign timeline, and Restore Britain’s position as a smaller hard-right challenger without established constituency infrastructure. No late surge has altered the standing in official surveys ahead of polling day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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