The UK government's April denial of Kanye West's Electronic Travel Authorisation has anchored trader consensus around a strong "No" outcome at 91.7% implied probability. Home Office officials rejected the application on grounds that his presence would not serve the public good, citing his history of antisemitic remarks, which prompted the full cancellation of Wireless Festival. No subsequent confirmed statements or renewed filings have emerged to suggest a policy reversal before the June 30 cutoff. While an unexpected diplomatic shift or successful legal challenge could theoretically open the door, current entry barriers and the absence of any positive momentum keep the probability of a visit extremely low in the near term.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?
Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?
신규
신규
2026.06.30
신규
신규
2026.06.30
If Kanye West visits the United Kingdom between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United Kingdom. Whether or not Kanye West enters U.K. airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The UK government's April denial of Kanye West's Electronic Travel Authorisation has anchored trader consensus around a strong "No" outcome at 91.7% implied probability. Home Office officials rejected the application on grounds that his presence would not serve the public good, citing his history of antisemitic remarks, which prompted the full cancellation of Wireless Festival. No subsequent confirmed statements or renewed filings have emerged to suggest a policy reversal before the June 30 cutoff. While an unexpected diplomatic shift or successful legal challenge could theoretically open the door, current entry barriers and the absence of any positive momentum keep the probability of a visit extremely low in the near term.
If Kanye West visits the United Kingdom between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United Kingdom. Whether or not Kanye West enters U.K. airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United Kingdom. Whether or not Kanye West enters U.K. airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 7, 2026, 11:53 AM ET
거래량
$3,498종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Apr 7, 2026, 11:53 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...If Kanye West visits the United Kingdom between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United Kingdom. Whether or not Kanye West enters U.K. airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The UK government's April denial of Kanye West's Electronic Travel Authorisation has anchored trader consensus around a strong "No" outcome at 91.7% implied probability. Home Office officials rejected the application on grounds that his presence would not serve the public good, citing his history of antisemitic remarks, which prompted the full cancellation of Wireless Festival. No subsequent confirmed statements or renewed filings have emerged to suggest a policy reversal before the June 30 cutoff. While an unexpected diplomatic shift or successful legal challenge could theoretically open the door, current entry barriers and the absence of any positive momentum keep the probability of a visit extremely low in the near term.
If Kanye West visits the United Kingdom between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United Kingdom. Whether or not Kanye West enters U.K. airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United Kingdom. Whether or not Kanye West enters U.K. airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$3,498종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Apr 7, 2026, 11:53 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The UK government's April denial of Kanye West's Electronic Travel Authorisation has anchored trader consensus around a strong "No" outcome at 91.7% implied probability. Home Office officials rejected the application on grounds that his presence would not serve the public good, citing his history of antisemitic remarks, which prompted the full cancellation of Wireless Festival. No subsequent confirmed statements or renewed filings have emerged to suggest a policy reversal before the June 30 cutoff. While an unexpected diplomatic shift or successful legal challenge could theoretically open the door, current entry barriers and the absence of any positive momentum keep the probability of a visit extremely low in the near term.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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