Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 96.3% implied probability for Kanye West visiting Israel by June 30, driven by the absence of any confirmed announcement, public statement, or scheduled appearance from Ye's camp amid his ongoing 2026 world tour. Recent unverified rumors from Israeli outlets like Mako claim an "agreement in principle" for a performance to signal amends for past antisemitic remarks—including praise for Hitler—but lack official corroboration and echo earlier unfulfilled speculation from January. European backlash has triggered bans and cancellations in the UK, Netherlands, Poland, and elsewhere, heightening skepticism that Israel would greenlight a high-profile visit without backlash. Realistic upsets hinge on a surprise verified booking or social media post locking in dates before the deadline, though six weeks remain with no logistical momentum.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?
$83,891 거래량
$83,891 거래량
2026.06.30
$83,891 거래량
$83,891 거래량
2026.06.30
If Kanye West visits Israel between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Israel. Whether or not Kanye West enters Israeli airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 96.3% implied probability for Kanye West visiting Israel by June 30, driven by the absence of any confirmed announcement, public statement, or scheduled appearance from Ye's camp amid his ongoing 2026 world tour. Recent unverified rumors from Israeli outlets like Mako claim an "agreement in principle" for a performance to signal amends for past antisemitic remarks—including praise for Hitler—but lack official corroboration and echo earlier unfulfilled speculation from January. European backlash has triggered bans and cancellations in the UK, Netherlands, Poland, and elsewhere, heightening skepticism that Israel would greenlight a high-profile visit without backlash. Realistic upsets hinge on a surprise verified booking or social media post locking in dates before the deadline, though six weeks remain with no logistical momentum.
If Kanye West visits Israel between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Israel. Whether or not Kanye West enters Israeli airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Israel. Whether or not Kanye West enters Israeli airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 7, 2026, 11:51 AM ET
거래량
$83,891종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Apr 7, 2026, 11:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...If Kanye West visits Israel between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Israel. Whether or not Kanye West enters Israeli airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 96.3% implied probability for Kanye West visiting Israel by June 30, driven by the absence of any confirmed announcement, public statement, or scheduled appearance from Ye's camp amid his ongoing 2026 world tour. Recent unverified rumors from Israeli outlets like Mako claim an "agreement in principle" for a performance to signal amends for past antisemitic remarks—including praise for Hitler—but lack official corroboration and echo earlier unfulfilled speculation from January. European backlash has triggered bans and cancellations in the UK, Netherlands, Poland, and elsewhere, heightening skepticism that Israel would greenlight a high-profile visit without backlash. Realistic upsets hinge on a surprise verified booking or social media post locking in dates before the deadline, though six weeks remain with no logistical momentum.
If Kanye West visits Israel between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Israel. Whether or not Kanye West enters Israeli airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Israel. Whether or not Kanye West enters Israeli airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$83,891종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Apr 7, 2026, 11:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 96.3% implied probability for Kanye West visiting Israel by June 30, driven by the absence of any confirmed announcement, public statement, or scheduled appearance from Ye's camp amid his ongoing 2026 world tour. Recent unverified rumors from Israeli outlets like Mako claim an "agreement in principle" for a performance to signal amends for past antisemitic remarks—including praise for Hitler—but lack official corroboration and echo earlier unfulfilled speculation from January. European backlash has triggered bans and cancellations in the UK, Netherlands, Poland, and elsewhere, heightening skepticism that Israel would greenlight a high-profile visit without backlash. Realistic upsets hinge on a surprise verified booking or social media post locking in dates before the deadline, though six weeks remain with no logistical momentum.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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